TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 219.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$320,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$323,815

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $320,600 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Under54c218,992$117,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101,167.2620545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe934…640bbacked Over46c196,844$90,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90,548.313860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Over51c24,000$12,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,12015952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under49c22,411$10,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,429.5143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under50c19,227$9,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,613.6787451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99e0…5052backed Over48c13,000$6,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2408839.8%35 W · 53 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over51c8,695$4,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,402.837355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Over46c7,789$3,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,583.034042.5%17 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick35cpaid-7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Under55c7,541$4,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,393.3448352%251 W · 232 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Over45c7,478$3,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,365.1816039.4%63 W · 97 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c5,000$2,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4654,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c3,650$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.513,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under54c2,926$1,580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.911,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c2,491$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.964,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under50c2,396$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under51c2,383$1,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.7129849.3%147 W · 151 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c2,017$948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.725,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c1,914$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.052,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over48c1,899$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.459629.2%28 W · 68 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over46c1,819$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.6914940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c1,800$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$872.511,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under54c1,740$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over47c1,615$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.0548751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Over49c1,576$772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$772.2230446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c1,354$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.662,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over48c1,283$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.876,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Under54c1,264$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.3122948.5%111 W · 118 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over52c1,041$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.3117637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over50c953$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over51c918.19$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.2831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under53c903.96$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.861,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…bf20backed Over47c824$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.284540%18 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…6312backed Over46c810.01$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.67236.1%26 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Over46c809$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.1419745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5157…942bbacked Over46c582.46$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.937145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c3d…b570backed Under51c577.58$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over52c549.16$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.262744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over49c500$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.6868645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42f2…fdb4backed Over53c498.74$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3311558.3%67 W · 48 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Under55c442.27$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.0219258.3%112 W · 80 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x039f…4512backed Over46c437.52$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under47c428.32$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.019,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over49c408.15$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.992,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over50c395.75$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8935546.5%165 W · 190 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Under50c384.31$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.2513153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c364.12$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.371,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c341.53$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0184443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over48c312$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7647436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over50c310.35$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3238947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under50c296$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14856043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under79c294.4$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.688,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under55c287.43$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3592058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over50c281.25$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.381,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Over45c276.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.1779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over51c266.44$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.889854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under51c251.58$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.271,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under51c251.58$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2744551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over49c226.43$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.051,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over53c220.03$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.626956.5%39 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over49c211.61$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.3520240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2fb…610cbacked Over47c206$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.822748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over47c203.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over29c200.65$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4317047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Under54c199.99$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9215543.9%68 W · 87 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over46c193.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0227246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacb…03b7backed Under50c192.27$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.1410457.7%60 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Under55c185.1$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.298646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over50c180$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9021347.9%102 W · 111 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under55c175.14$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.8142853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Over53c173.27$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.091040%4 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-41.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa09e…9368backed Under46c166.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908353%44 W · 39 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Under48c163.55$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.045450%27 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fb0…3a13backed Over54c162.07$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.521050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under55c157.29$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.781,00351%512 W · 491 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under50c153.31$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5658450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x579a…9908backed Under50c151.32$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.666756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over50c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.251,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under71c148.51$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4b71…80ecbacked Over46c147.24$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.738545.9%39 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Over53c146.69$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.7433258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over51c142.79$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Under55c137.99$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.19952.5%52 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over57c132.37$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.451,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over20c119.29$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.810523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee62…bc6abacked Over50c111$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.526745.3%121 W · 146 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Under55c106.99$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1567248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over47c103$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4138545.7%176 W · 209 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Under55c102.17$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9795260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2110…306fbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507844.9%35 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Under80c99.94$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9912558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Over46c98.86$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.489646.9%45 W · 51 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8daf…ef60backed Over52c97.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Under50c97$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.553453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over51c95.63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.223,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6313052.3%68 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4859…b08ebacked Over53c91.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.594852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28ad…9805backed Under47c80$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.422942.8%98 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over49c69$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0939041%160 W · 230 L-32.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Over53c68.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0516953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.