NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x938678fcc7d4d0df0410df4e2dfa807314708c0b8804269a9f17a11ec0b2122a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Bucks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,334
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,390
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,334 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Nets | 49c | 28,176$13,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,320.77 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bucks | 47c | 23,174$10,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,998.04 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Bucks | 50c | 13,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Nets | 48c | 10,141$4,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,273.39 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Bucks | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 483 | 52%251 W · 232 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 52c | 8,000$4,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,119.96 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Nets | 70c | 7,257$5,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,170 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Nets | 50c | 6,187$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.23 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Nets | 50c | 6,181$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.09 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nets | 50c | 6,181$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.09 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Bucks | 49c | 5,394$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,643.01 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bucks | 32c | 4,085$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,291.31 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bucks | 51c | 3,538$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.47 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Bucks | 53c | 3,300$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.24 | 208 | 43.8%91 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Nets | 50c | 2,605$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.42 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Nets | 49c | 2,485$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.38 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Nets | 49c | 2,455$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.17 | 298 | 49.3%147 W · 151 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Bucks | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucks | 49c | 1,992$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.03 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Bucks | 50c | 1,800$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bucks | 49c | 1,662$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.29 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bucks | 51c | 1,542$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.25 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Bucks | 51c | 1,239$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Nets | 50c | 1,094$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.01 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bucks | 51c | 999.96$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.98 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Nets | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Nets | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 592 | 50.2%297 W · 295 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Nets | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Bucks | 50c | 900$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bucks | 50c | 891.78$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.29 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bucks | 51c | 732.87$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.02 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 26c | 732.15$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Bucks | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Bucks | 51c | 584.54$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.11 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bucks | 51c | 505.39$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.68 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bucks | 50c | 495.61$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.8 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Bucks | 52c | 466.92$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.8 | 192 | 58.3%112 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Bucks | 52c | 395$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.4 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…dda7backed Bucks | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 242 | 47.1%114 W · 128 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Bucks | 49c | 306$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.94 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bucks | 39c | 305.74$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bucks | 51c | 275$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Bucks | 50c | 271.13$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.75 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…5265backed Nets | 51c | 263.28$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nets | 37c | 261.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Nets | 50c | 255.37$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.69 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Bucks | 37c | 246.28$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 192 | 46.4%89 W · 103 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 52c | 239.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.57 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Nets | 47c | 236.52$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Bucks | 50c | 231.34$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.9 | 349 | 53%185 W · 164 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Bucks | 52c | 223$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.44 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x190f…01f3backed Nets | 48c | 205.39$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed Nets | 50c | 203.7$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.85 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5c…0fc2backed Nets | 49c | 203.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.92 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Bucks | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Nets | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Nets | 49c | 197.84$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.9 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Nets | 50c | 195.3$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.32 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Nets | 50c | 194$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97 | 611 | 51.4%314 W · 297 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Bucks | 51c | 188.54$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6baa…b85fbacked Nets | 48c | 176.32$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.67 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Bucks | 37c | 171.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Bucks | 26c | 167.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 221 | 40.7%90 W · 131 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Bucks | 50c | 165.18$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.25 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2195…d708backed Nets | 65c | 150.09$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…06d0backed Bucks | 36c | 148.87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.01 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15bb…2033backed Nets | 49c | 148.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.67 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Nets | 51c | 147.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.28 | 1,003 | 51%512 W · 491 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bucks | 51c | 145.71$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.28 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Bucks | 52c | 145.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.75 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Bucks | 52c | 138.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.06 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Bucks | 50c | 126.06$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.68 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Bucks | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Nets | 50c | 116.62$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.31 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Bucks | 53c | 111.9$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Bucks | 52c | 110.42$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 202 | 40.1%81 W · 121 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…a035backed Bucks | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Nets | 75c | 109.09$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Nets | 50c | 101.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.93 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Bucks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 382 | 42.9%164 W · 218 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4162…0d18backed Nets | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Bucks | 53c | 98.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 1,634 | 48.1%786 W · 848 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Nets | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Nets | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Nets | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.56 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…5d81backed Bucks | 24c | 95.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bucks | 52c | 95.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Nets | 71c | 94.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Bucks | 51c | 93.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 765 | 52.9%405 W · 360 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Bucks | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bucks | 52c | 90.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Nets | 50c | 88.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.42 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Bucks | 16c | 88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bucks | 32c | 82.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Bucks | 22c | 80.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 600 | 49.8%299 W · 301 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nets | 75c | 79.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Bucks | 50c | 77.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Bucks | 53c | 72.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks | 59c | 59.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.77 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-0.5)Nets won
- Bucks vs. NetsNets won
- Bucks vs. Nets: 1H MoneylineNets won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.