TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$110,514
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$108,893

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,514 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed Under51c24,735$12,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,119.9843148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over49c19,993$9,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,796.61,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Under51c17,003$8,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,401.8319754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under54c16,462$8,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,572.4720545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over43c13,385$5,722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,721.862,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c10,224$4,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,905.63,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over50c9,367$4,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,683.381,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under50c6,493$3,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.331,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over47c6,249$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.5121350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under57c2,550$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.6317055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over43c2,214$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.74,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked Over51c2,199$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.6712257.4%70 W · 52 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c1,858$905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.979,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over43c1,498$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.111,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Over48c1,196$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.075650%28 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under54c1,084$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.616,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.252951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904938.8%19 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b58…8692backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-65.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2ba…b283backed Over53c995.03$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.362147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over51c986.05$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8922349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over50c970$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4858654.7%47 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under47c931.12$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.4913138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under52c869.54$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.581,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c851.26$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.582,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c689.31$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.824,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over34c665.09$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.418,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Over48c605.5$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.6414549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9512…67a2backed Over52c532.12$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over52c495.22$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.518429.8%25 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x62db…d58ebacked Under50c391.92$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.962065%13 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over49c387.76$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19032450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over50c369.97$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.6381349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b2…2171backed Over49c368.06$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.352951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over48c348.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.5156843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over7c337.21$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.610523.8%25 W · 80 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over47c318.95$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9147436.7%174 W · 300 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over45c311.37$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.071,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over49c295.47$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.3217250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8289…0bf5backed Under52c280.15$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.471384.6%11 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+59.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under51c258.44$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.6444345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over48c237.37$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3639448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under52c235.09$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8458450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over49c233.96$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8793543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed Over46c212.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9225550.2%128 W · 127 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9635744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9438453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Under51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2513148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa15f…ad19backed Over49c168.16$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.49854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c167.99$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.772,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under53c165.8$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.511,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over49c163.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9965045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under52c162.41$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9660351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over49c159.3$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over47c157.72$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.363,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c156.25$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.531,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Under51c133.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2811354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c128.38$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.912,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Over42c128.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.845550.9%28 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under51c114.19$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.9512048.3%58 W · 62 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Over17c111.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1917047.6%81 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over43c110.7$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1420240.1%81 W · 121 L-12.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over46c105.17$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.3866046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over14c102.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.341,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7deb…7c0abacked Over55c99.87$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.932339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5aa…0058backed Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.476443.8%28 W · 36 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8a…1cb9backed Under51c97.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.568154.3%44 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.631,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Under50c85.09$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5440750.6%206 W · 201 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under50c84.31$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7549247.2%232 W · 260 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaad9…caefbacked Under51c83.47$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.93246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over41c80$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.995,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under55c79.91$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.961,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Over31c78.79$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0911040%44 W · 66 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over49c78.37$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7933251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over43c72.39$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.131,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over48c63.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.451,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over45c63.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7323549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf433…2464backed Over50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.114444.4%64 W · 80 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Over48c57.56$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.883,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Under45c53.96$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6833159.2%196 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Over49c51.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2922454.5%122 W · 102 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.254238.1%16 W · 26 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5ab…c3acbacked Over50c48.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2515953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over49c48.43$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7367248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c47.47$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.212,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Under50c45.65$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.826352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under55c41.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8244551.2%228 W · 217 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under55c41.77$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8251647.5%245 W · 271 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under53c39.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7314640.4%59 W · 87 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Under53c39.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.733135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-36.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Under53c39.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7322047.3%104 W · 116 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f01…15afbacked Under53c39.84$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c39.8$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a2…27a0backed Over49c39.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.397350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c9e…8e90backed Under52c38.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6514051.4%72 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f74…4adabacked Under51c38.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6510850.9%55 W · 53 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over50c37.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.929454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0e…3a70backed Over49c37.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4115053.3%80 W · 70 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4162…0d18backed Over41c36.65$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.036848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.