NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Nets: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x874a1b45224d6d58ecc7cf5587d4d42799c6f2ca65d3d047267ab7dcff053f5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Netsof Bucks, Nets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,961
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,961 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 9 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nets | 47c | 1,411$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.29 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Bucks | 55c | 1,062$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.8 | 574 | 44.1%253 W · 321 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Bucks | 57c | 229.74$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Nets | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bucks | 40c | 136.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nets | 57c | 100.33$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.14 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…5616backed Bucks | 60c | 80.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…53c2backed Bucks | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2414…f34ebacked Bucks | 23c | 53.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucks vs. Nets: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-0.5)Nets won
- Bucks vs. NetsNets won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 219.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 220.5Under won
- Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Spread: Bucks (-1.5)Nets won
- Spread: Bucks (-2.5)Nets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.