NBA · resolved market

Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 221.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x490bd2341d2b54ac5e4ebc1ebf49b843df16edad21ed31760b551b4d558d7e0a

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $15,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,580 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xb212…c63cbacked Under	51c	3,538$1,804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,733.68	9	77.8%7 W · 2 L	+2.5wins	+0.28per pick	50cpaid	+57%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Over	49c	3,180$1,558 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,558.42	84	29.8%25 W · 59 L	-6.5wins	-0.08per pick	38cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	45c	1,404$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.8	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3054…699bbacked Over	49c	1,000$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	-5.1wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	46c	653.81$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.36	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over	45c	485.52$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.48	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under	54c	446.72$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.55	476	51.7%246 W · 230 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under	51c	380.63$194 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.51	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under	56c	348.02$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$153.13	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Over	46c	283.17$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.26	935	43.6%408 W · 527 L	-32.6wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Over	44c	265$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.6	474	36.7%174 W · 300 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	46c	243.4$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.06	1,282	43.4%557 W · 725 L	-51.2wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over	47c	195.76$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.98	355	46.5%165 W · 190 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Over	50c	193.01$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.51	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7312…df72backed Over	13c	182.35$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.69	105	23.8%25 W · 80 L	-8.2wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Under	54c	181.63$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.42	337	49.3%166 W · 171 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Over	47c	181.07$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.64	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-5.6wins	-0.13per pick	52cpaid	-27%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	76c	178.63$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.65	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d43…86e7backed Over	47c	163.5$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.85	54	50%27 W · 27 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under	54c	161.43$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.37	1,150	49.5%569 W · 581 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over	46c	156$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.76	568	43.8%249 W · 319 L	-25.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over	46c	136.75$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.94	2,400	43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L	-82.9wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	52c	95$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.6	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Over	46c	88.84$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.83	172	50.6%87 W · 85 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over	44c	87$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.28	235	49.4%116 W · 119 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d2…f38bbacked Over	50c	67.11$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.56	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x217f…9812backed Over	50c	62.95$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.48	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-2.3wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under	52c	59.94$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.66	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under	53c	59.81$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.11	1,901	48.7%925 W · 976 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe42d…62febacked Under	51c	57.09$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.98	213	52.1%111 W · 102 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Over	42c	51.72$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.72	1,393	48.3%673 W · 720 L	+19.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Under	58c	50.42$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.18	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	60cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5694…501cbacked Under	53c	47.67$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.41	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+3.7wins	+0.16per pick	53cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0684…d593backed Over	47c	38.73$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.2	879	50.6%445 W · 434 L	-16.0wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…c208backed Under	54c	36.01$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.57	112	53.6%60 W · 52 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Over	46c	35$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.1	1,425	47.7%680 W · 745 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over	46c	34.29$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.77	394	48.7%192 W · 202 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	52c	32.5$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.6	1,277	47.2%603 W · 674 L	-3.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Over	48c	31.49$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	238	40.8%97 W · 141 L	-16.0wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x792a…7364backed Over	47c	30.9$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.52	216	49.1%106 W · 110 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	53c	27.3$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.83	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	46c	26$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under	54c	24.97$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.49	349	53%185 W · 164 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf137…9341backed Under	50c	23.96$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.98	65	46.2%30 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under	54c	23.34$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.74	717	52%373 W · 344 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over	47c	22.27$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.47	1,048	51.7%542 W · 506 L	+7.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	1,084	50%542 W · 542 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	906	50.2%455 W · 451 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	443	47.2%209 W · 234 L	-7.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	637	46.6%297 W · 340 L	-16.1wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	-8.5wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	324	50.3%163 W · 161 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	716	54.1%387 W · 329 L	+21.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	570	51.9%296 W · 274 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	589	53.7%316 W · 273 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	298	49.3%147 W · 151 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Under	54c	22.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.22	55	50.9%28 W · 27 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bucks vs. Nets: O/U 221.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event