TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Fenerbahce

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fenerbahceof ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, Fenerbahce
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x68bb…7148backed Fenerbahce74c3,523$2,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.11757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Fenerbahce74c2,636$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.288936%32 W · 57 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne26c2,400$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.082133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne18c2,199$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.118611.6%10 W · 76 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne26c2,072$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.4312040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a08…64a7backed Fenerbahce73c2,028$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne16c1,947$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.8213220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Fenerbahce71c1,308$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.7713147.3%62 W · 69 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Fenerbahce72c1,284$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.162536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde80…d8b9backed Fenerbahce73c1,213$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.53040%12 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c55…7ef8backed Fenerbahce71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2901100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Fenerbahce73c999.97$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88fb…df99backed Fenerbahce73c906$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad93…3081backed Fenerbahce73c880.08$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c735.28$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.531338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne29c683.76$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.854042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne16c642.74$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.768037.5%30 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne22c640.19$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.4114037.9%53 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-21.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa58f…ee1abacked Fenerbahce79c512.33$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.97666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne13c489.62$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.116744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e9…811dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne30c479$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8d2…2381backed Fenerbahce74c397.9$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.53250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Fenerbahce73c374$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.518247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Fenerbahce73c361.23$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.185545.5%25 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Fenerbahce71c360.28$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.488845.5%40 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne20c330.11$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2126935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne10c324.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1454251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne24c293.1$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.22040%8 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Fenerbahce73c269.53$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.7710663.2%67 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c245.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.173148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c245.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.172045%9 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x659f…04e4backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c245.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c245.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.171650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c245.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.175541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8c2…080bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c245.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c245.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.171838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c245.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c245.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.17425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-64.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c245.07$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.171050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne15c217.24$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3921535.8%77 W · 138 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne13c207.02$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6535234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Fenerbahce72c195.27$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf01…39f7backed Fenerbahce73c194.6$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.542100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43b…5913backed Fenerbahce76c182.29$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.34785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick63cpaid+47.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Fenerbahce76c182.01$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.045271.2%37 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea87…8066backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c177.08$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.811838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.811361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c177.07$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8120%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne17c170.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3843543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Fenerbahce71c157.21$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.594100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+121.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne28c153.77$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.064355.8%24 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd3…0d61backed Fenerbahce73c152.52$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.184165.9%27 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf25c…a27dbacked Fenerbahce72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.241546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b03…b766backed Fenerbahce73c134.77$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.39757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8847…0a81backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne29c124.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne24c120.48$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.632744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne24c119.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.631450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne24c119.3$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.632536%9 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Fenerbahce72c99.98$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fad…a796backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne28c99.53$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.19520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-71.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc5c6…2a42backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne17c98.75$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.79333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne23c95.38$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.944131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x270f…5e39backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne26c92.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c88.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.911855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c88.54$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.911442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne23c79.96$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.426119.7%12 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne23c79.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1725517.6%45 W · 210 L-29.4wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x4b26…7fa1backed Fenerbahce73c79.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne28c79.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.18966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3597…3e48backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c78.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.21742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne27c75.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.432254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne24c75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne19c73.27$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0637052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne28c68.34$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.146233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Fenerbahce72c67.83$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.66450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne25c67.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.95944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab4c…2a53backed Fenerbahce80c67.47$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne26c59.07$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.472040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d42…0b66backed Fenerbahce73c57.65$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.572860.7%17 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne20c52.3$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3520936.4%76 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51a2…051bbacked Fenerbahce77c51.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x296f…dd54backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126055%33 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Fenerbahce73c49.3$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.314374.4%32 W · 11 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne28c47.84$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.413751.1%70 W · 67 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ea1…6072backed Fenerbahce73c40.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.923100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Fenerbahce73c39.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.631968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe25a…93d3backed Fenerbahce75c34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.51190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick76cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e42…844cbacked Fenerbahce76c32.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Fenerbahce70c32.1$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.635453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Fenerbahce72c31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.683348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd7c…0bfbbacked Fenerbahce77c28.57$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e11…9f74backed Fenerbahce73c26.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.282454.2%13 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4201…b54dbacked Fenerbahce73c23.79$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb635…d141backed Fenerbahce73c22.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x175e…8e46backed Fenerbahce73c20.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf938…1249backed Fenerbahce73c20.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-54.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6e1…2ff4backed Fenerbahce72c19.12$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.351154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.