TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc6e1…2ff4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
62
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: La Liga, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 55 out of 100; worst AI at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick70cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.38
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.83
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.73
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.1
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.75
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.76
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.77
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.17
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$5.29
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.76
All 11 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. CB Murciabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$19.97
Forca Lleida CE vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Real Madrid vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.25
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.35
Saski Baskonia vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Basket Zaragoza vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.24
Virtus Bologna vs. Paris Basketballbacked Virtus Bologna · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.61
Monaco vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
CB Breogan Lugo vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.3
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$15.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.78
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+148.8%+$22.32
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$82.34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$10
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+56.3%+$13.46
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick62cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.47
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.53
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will PSV win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.9
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Michel Pereira vs. Shara Magomedov (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Michel Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.