Euroleague · resolved market
Forca Lleida CE vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57850b2095dac827e083ba6da9fa71945f8316ceb5e393f71eece5f006455a3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Forca Lleida CEof Forca Lleida CE, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Barcelona | 76c | 1,945$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.4 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed Forca Lleida CE | 24c | 1,881$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,429.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Barcelona | 79c | 1,396$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.05 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Forca Lleida CE | 59c | 1,104$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.35 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Barcelona | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.99 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Forca Lleida CE | 22c | 1,050$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.99 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Barcelona | 6c | 704.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc0…af1abacked Barcelona | 73c | 647.46$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Forca Lleida CE | 38c | 581.58$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.01 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58f…ee1abacked Barcelona | 60c | 571.81$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Barcelona | 70c | 518.98$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.62 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Forca Lleida CE | 55c | 466.35$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.92 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Barcelona | 60c | 440.26$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.16 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Forca Lleida CE | 40c | 407.48$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.56 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Barcelona | 36c | 393.55$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.58 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Forca Lleida CE | 11c | 361.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.87 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Barcelona | 38c | 322.43$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.68 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9416…98cfbacked Forca Lleida CE | 21c | 211.95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.65 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Barcelona | 23c | 199.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Forca Lleida CE | 23c | 196.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.47 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Forca Lleida CE | 39c | 186$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Forca Lleida CE | 15c | 185.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.15 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1979…c15cbacked Forca Lleida CE | 28c | 183.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Forca Lleida CE | 25c | 171.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.46 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Forca Lleida CE | 54c | 106.96$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Forca Lleida CE | 53c | 94.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Forca Lleida CE | 26c | 74.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…9dbbbacked Barcelona | 77c | 66.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Barcelona | 53c | 60.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Forca Lleida CE | 54c | 53.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Forca Lleida CE | 29c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Forca Lleida CE | 29c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Forca Lleida CE | 29c | 53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Forca Lleida CE | 30c | 52.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Forca Lleida CE | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Barcelona | 50c | 45.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31d3…47e9backed Barcelona | 77c | 44.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83db…7087backed Barcelona | 77c | 38.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 78cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87e…606dbacked Barcelona | 47c | 32.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Forca Lleida CE | 64c | 31.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…a931backed Barcelona | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 74cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…9f74backed Barcelona | 79c | 25.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…2ff4backed Barcelona | 77c | 23.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Forca Lleida CE | 61c | 20.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked Barcelona | 76c | 19.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…2b7ebacked Barcelona | 78c | 14.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.