Euroleague · resolved market
CB Breogan Lugo vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdfedf1756574ff7d44023a9c5c6a622260abf3fa57e6c93c29a2bdca0a568a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof CB Breogan Lugo, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,761 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed CB Breogan Lugo | 31c | 1,014$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.66 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed CB Breogan Lugo | 18c | 310.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.44 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Barcelona | 68c | 295.22$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…d1fdbacked Barcelona | 74c | 291.22$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 7c | 282.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe378…148ebacked Barcelona | 71c | 266.18$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Barcelona | 68c | 176.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.47 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d3…bd58backed CB Breogan Lugo | 30c | 164.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 26c | 160$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1b…2ee6backed Barcelona | 71c | 112.68$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Barcelona | 69c | 109.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Barcelona | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked CB Breogan Lugo | 25c | 99.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked CB Breogan Lugo | 33c | 60.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Barcelona | 68c | 57.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…2ff4backed Barcelona | 71c | 38.97$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Barcelona | 73c | 37$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e39…fc4cbacked Barcelona | 71c | 21.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.