Euroleague · resolved market
Basket Zaragoza vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9db184f60a93292c6ec3a0ed34e73450b22dd685d8ef264473423f36ddabfd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcelonaof Basket Zaragoza, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3453…7ae4backed Barcelona | 74c | 1,178$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.17 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…c249backed Basket Zaragoza | 20c | 473.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Basket Zaragoza | 25c | 449.21$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Basket Zaragoza | 25c | 348.58$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.14 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Basket Zaragoza | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Basket Zaragoza | 20c | 265$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…d1fdbacked Barcelona | 80c | 259.35$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Basket Zaragoza | 28c | 206.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.11 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Basket Zaragoza | 23c | 188.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.07 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Barcelona | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.88 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Basket Zaragoza | 25c | 153.65$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Basket Zaragoza | 26c | 144.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Basket Zaragoza | 24c | 143.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Basket Zaragoza | 28c | 74.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Basket Zaragoza | 33c | 69.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked Barcelona | 76c | 51.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Barcelona | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Basket Zaragoza | 29c | 41.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Basket Zaragoza | 33c | 39.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Barcelona | 70c | 36.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1c…95dcbacked Barcelona | 79c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Barcelona | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed9d…9dbbbacked Barcelona | 78c | 29.07$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 77cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Barcelona | 70c | 24.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…2ff4backed Barcelona | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Barcelona | 78c | 15.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.