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Euroleague · resolved market

La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Barcelonaof La Laguna Tenerife, Barcelona
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$19,639

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf33e…0ab8backed La Laguna Tenerife38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed La Laguna Tenerife16c999.89$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.3513220.5%27 W · 105 L-6.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78a8…0753backed La Laguna Tenerife38c901.68$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed La Laguna Tenerife38c591.96$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9834344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Barcelona74c571.26$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.831546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ae5…6079backed La Laguna Tenerife38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed La Laguna Tenerife39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1952133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked La Laguna Tenerife15c462.97$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7754251.5%279 W · 263 L+25.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed La Laguna Tenerife22c384.39$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.31631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked La Laguna Tenerife10c366$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.265446.3%25 W · 29 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed La Laguna Tenerife38c350$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1334245.2%19 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed La Laguna Tenerife32c338.71$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.716747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed La Laguna Tenerife38c291.59$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.765752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba54…699dbacked Barcelona71c283.13$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed La Laguna Tenerife5c258.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9336939.8%147 W · 222 L+1.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed La Laguna Tenerife40c249.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Barcelona80c166.79$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.126744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed La Laguna Tenerife30c130$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cee…bd00backed La Laguna Tenerife38c120$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e39…fe16backed La Laguna Tenerife24c119.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.881127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed La Laguna Tenerife29c110.46$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0313046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ec…64c8backed Barcelona62c106.45$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7346…5cf8backed La Laguna Tenerife26c101.09$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed La Laguna Tenerife40c101.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.44151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed La Laguna Tenerife39c101.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.393345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked La Laguna Tenerife40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027338.1%104 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed La Laguna Tenerife39c99.98$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.991741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked La Laguna Tenerife38c98$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.244452.3%23 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed La Laguna Tenerife38c78.95$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304557.8%26 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked Barcelona62c68.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked La Laguna Tenerife38c66.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.418760.9%53 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked La Laguna Tenerife26c54.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.9wins+0.48per pick39cpaid+149.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked La Laguna Tenerife22c51.84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5243543.7%190 W · 245 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed La Laguna Tenerife39c51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891450%7 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed La Laguna Tenerife38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.753743.2%16 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3090…be73backed La Laguna Tenerife37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked La Laguna Tenerife37c39.53$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.724242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.7wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-33.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed La Laguna Tenerife40c37.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.982030%6 W · 14 L-4.7wins-0.24per pick54cpaid-42.2%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x6f27…d00abacked Barcelona61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Barcelona62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6e1…2ff4backed Barcelona60c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Barcelona73c21.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.771844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Barcelona59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.26949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.