TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will Tobyl FK win on 2026-07-30?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$56,967

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb71b…666bbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Yes61c9,902$6,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,039.993225%8 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-56.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed No52c7,716$4,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,674.373948.7%19 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No50c5,950$2,956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.023,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes56c3,527$1,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,976.91,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No39c2,604$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,588.255845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No31c2,438$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.942,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No39c1,972$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,205.2931430.3%95 W · 219 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No50c1,448$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.832,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes44c1,356$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$595.4178344.8%351 W · 432 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes62c1,145$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.042,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No23c1,013$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.3969448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No24c1,003$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.3466150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes40c831.39$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.5619250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed No30c825.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.8915544.5%69 W · 86 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe50…b05cbacked Yes75c632$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed No39c580.25$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.729337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked No53c442.58$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0136356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes4c417.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4279532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes68c400$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27220740.1%83 W · 124 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.334654.3%25 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed No50c326.39$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9158061.9%359 W · 221 L+22.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No50c317.78$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6985260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed No62c307.1$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.329959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed No44c286.56$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6829654.1%160 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes77c259.74$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004833.3%16 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes74c228.61$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.427545.3%34 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes44c217.8$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.833132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Yes30c200.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.126251.6%32 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed No46c195.65$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.655952.5%31 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeddb…41bcbacked Yes77c184.78$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes63c178.57$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0576941.9%322 W · 447 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16f…a33fbacked Yes43c167.65$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.12450%12 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd970…bbbabacked No43c155$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.96973.9%51 W · 18 L+19.0wins+0.28per pick46cpaid+87.8%equal weight73+0.20 edge/pick
0x1218…511dbacked No27c148.15$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.153447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+69.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes76c141.98$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.551,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45f6…4bfdbacked Yes72c138.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d4…5d18backed No54c136.79$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.515667.9%38 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f39…e279backed Yes76c131.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995158.8%30 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Yes62c113.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3231856%178 W · 140 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes77c113$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9527039.3%106 W · 164 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3309…209dbacked No44c110.05$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.636100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xced7…b7b5backed No26c107.07$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.264955.1%27 W · 22 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Yes41c105$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes43c102.69$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.6420244.6%90 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x293c…dcbabacked Yes57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed No23c99.66$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.743339.4%13 W · 20 L+6.6wins+0.20per pick19cpaid+88%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xdae8…15f8backed Yes40c97.5$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No27c89.38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5279354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes13c88.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122832.1%9 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed No24c88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8812941.9%54 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes42c83.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.184327.9%12 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-53%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9254…ca8fbacked No25c80$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+46%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x01ab…097cbacked No64c78.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Yes76c77.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.744942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No27c76.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5537043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Yes54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403122.6%7 W · 24 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-27.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes70c73.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.471,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcca1…9d25backed No28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick34cpaid+90%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca1f…d282backed No35c65.83$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.964479.5%35 W · 9 L+8.0wins+0.18per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Yes76c65.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503658.3%21 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes78c64$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.828347%39 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes42c61.86$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7218244.5%81 W · 101 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x126d…32a5backed Yes61c56.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid+78.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No53c55$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.838047.4%180 W · 200 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26da…3b4cbacked No60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3555…208ebacked Yes76c46.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356657.6%38 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7df0…0dfebacked No25c44.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.297157.7%41 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes74c44.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed No55c41.91$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.866556.9%37 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+33.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes75c40.81$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.731,57355.7%876 W · 697 L+25.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed No25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82a8…6befbacked Yes78c39.88$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.11250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No26c39.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.231553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes48c37.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.972864.3%18 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c7…c415backed No46c35.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.135064%32 W · 18 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4438…f659backed No58c34.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.43580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes56c33.56$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6615828.5%45 W · 113 L-18.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Yes76c32.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.643661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff3e…9fbabacked No63c31.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Yes49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156035%21 W · 39 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.99310%0 W · 31 L-11.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight27-0.21 edge/pick
0xb619…49c9backed No53c28.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.342751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes74c26.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+45.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1040…ac10backed Yes38c26.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102564%16 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x653b…685ebacked Yes76c26.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e8d…9c0bbacked Yes78c25.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.31per pick61cpaid-56%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.337750.9%192 W · 185 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes77c21.8$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7915459.1%91 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25a…93d3backed Yes76c21.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick73cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes67c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.35151%26 W · 25 L-7.5wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-26.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcb37…189abacked Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061a…5a89backed Yes57c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe6…4a1bbacked Yes51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.123956.4%22 W · 17 L+10.1wins+0.26per pick31cpaid+330.1%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes75c19.32$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4965549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No65c16.21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.6929470.1%206 W · 88 L+21.6wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+9.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.