Tennis · resolved market
Milan: Gustavo Heide vs Alex Barrena
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a5bdedce75e8cbe8e96cc7b5c1ffaf542ca652d8431e7c5264c7d32250a01c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gustavo Heideof Gustavo Heide, Alex Barrena
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Alex Barrena | 20c | 16,689$3,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,301.96 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4756…eef8backed Alex Barrena | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alex Barrena | 11c | 8,878$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.6 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d99…9675backed Alex Barrena | 11c | 7,108$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.67 | 155 | 30.3%47 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alex Barrena | 20c | 3,415$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.44 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Gustavo Heide | 80c | 2,602$2,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.37 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Gustavo Heide | 80c | 1,729$1,383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.75 | 611 | 52.2%319 W · 292 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Alex Barrena | 10c | 753.88$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Alex Barrena | 14c | 691.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.04 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Alex Barrena | 20c | 568.9$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.47 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alex Barrena | 9c | 565.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Alex Barrena | 22c | 514.91$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Gustavo Heide | 79c | 420.2$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…bf44backed Alex Barrena | 7c | 400.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Alex Barrena | 17c | 366.92$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alex Barrena | 15c | 354.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.73 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Alex Barrena | 8c | 298.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Alex Barrena | 10c | 288.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Alex Barrena | 19c | 269.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Alex Barrena | 10c | 264.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Alex Barrena | 19c | 240$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alex Barrena | 19c | 233.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Alex Barrena | 11c | 232.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Alex Barrena | 20c | 227.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e1…97bcbacked Alex Barrena | 6c | 185.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alex Barrena | 12c | 183$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Alex Barrena | 22c | 173.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Alex Barrena | 20c | 170$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Alex Barrena | 11c | 169$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alex Barrena | 12c | 151$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alex Barrena | 18c | 126.45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Alex Barrena | 9c | 126.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Gustavo Heide | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Alex Barrena | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…d7d4backed Alex Barrena | 21c | 119.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alex Barrena | 12c | 118$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ab…75ffbacked Alex Barrena | 13c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Gustavo Heide | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alex Barrena | 17c | 96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…8a1dbacked Alex Barrena | 17c | 85.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gustavo Heide | 78c | 85$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alex Barrena | 17c | 64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Alex Barrena | 21c | 59.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…bc41backed Alex Barrena | 19c | 58.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Gustavo Heide | 79c | 58$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Gustavo Heide | 80c | 55.38$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 302 | 58.6%177 W · 125 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Alex Barrena | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gustavo Heide | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Gustavo Heide | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 425 | 63.3%269 W · 156 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…93d3backed Gustavo Heide | 79c | 21.52$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Gustavo Heide | 78c | 13.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5e…f0c5backed Gustavo Heide | 79c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.73 | 232 | 72.8%169 W · 63 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.