Tennis · resolved market
Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Olle Wallin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8f4e09fe32d05d3d875eaea4fcdafd795ac060754e525a923ca0f8b8f1eee96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jan Choinskiof Jan Choinski, Olle Wallin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,920
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $138,766
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,920 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Olle Wallin | 16c | 15,100$2,483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.08 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…eb20backed Olle Wallin | 14c | 8,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Olle Wallin | 14c | 4,862$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.87 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Olle Wallin | 14c | 3,170$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.96 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Olle Wallin | 7c | 3,161$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.26 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c50…e0c9backed Olle Wallin | 20c | 2,121$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.23 | 421 | 31.6%133 W · 288 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Jan Choinski | 80c | 1,666$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.26 | 101 | 59.4%60 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0210…4debbacked Jan Choinski | 80c | 1,628$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.5 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…cea7backed Olle Wallin | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 327 | 35.5%116 W · 211 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b26ebacked Olle Wallin | 7c | 1,358$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Olle Wallin | 16c | 1,350$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Olle Wallin | 12c | 1,299$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.02 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…5cd6backed Olle Wallin | 13c | 1,153$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 187 | 31%58 W · 129 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Olle Wallin | 19c | 1,142$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc48a…c6c4backed Olle Wallin | 6c | 999.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Olle Wallin | 21c | 628.57$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 245 | 29.8%73 W · 172 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…5269backed Olle Wallin | 10c | 500.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Olle Wallin | 9c | 482.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.41 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Olle Wallin | 7c | 385.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Olle Wallin | 8c | 369.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Olle Wallin | 8c | 364.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Jan Choinski | 80c | 310.55$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 113 | 72.6%82 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Olle Wallin | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Olle Wallin | 20c | 279.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Olle Wallin | 9c | 277.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Olle Wallin | 9c | 256$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Olle Wallin | 18c | 207.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Olle Wallin | 12c | 189.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Olle Wallin | 14c | 186.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Olle Wallin | 20c | 165.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x762a…ed42backed Olle Wallin | 21c | 152.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Olle Wallin | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 868 | 35.4%307 W · 561 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…f7aebacked Olle Wallin | 23c | 130.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Olle Wallin | 12c | 120.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c8…a722backed Olle Wallin | 19c | 110.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Olle Wallin | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 449 | 46.1%207 W · 242 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Jan Choinski | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Olle Wallin | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Olle Wallin | 10c | 96.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Olle Wallin | 17c | 73.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b1…df57backed Olle Wallin | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Olle Wallin | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Olle Wallin | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Olle Wallin | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Jan Choinski | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…93d3backed Jan Choinski | 80c | 21.88$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…9d6dbacked Jan Choinski | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 66cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Jan Choinski | 79c | 17.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.63 | 225 | 47.1%106 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Jan Choinski | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Jan Choinski | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked Jan Choinski | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 121 | 62%75 W · 46 L | -14.3wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bonn: Jan Choinski vs Olle Wallinthis page
- Set Handicap: Choinski (-1.5) vs Wallin (+1.5)Choinski won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.