Euroleague · resolved market
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Olympiacos B.C.
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a844bc7e99a6d751ffe0c6c18589a9464972debd69d717f73f4c839685b563b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Olympiacos B.C.of ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne, Olympiacos B.C.
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,674
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,674 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 21c | 3,274$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.55 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 17c | 1,963$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.6 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 1,600$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.97 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 18c | 1,323$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.38 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 15c | 1,133$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.62 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 15c | 1,011$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7223…5ffabacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 987.76$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 7c | 888.61$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d6f…7135backed Olympiacos B.C. | 74c | 558.1$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.37 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 12c | 464.13$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.7 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 10c | 314.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 286.69$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 17c | 235$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 77c | 220$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x015d…7bc7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 19c | 205.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 16c | 197.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 152.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 15c | 149.74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 11c | 130.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c70…2523backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 21c | 113.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 112$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 98.74$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.74 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 20c | 96.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 11c | 94.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 91.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 25c | 85.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 17c | 84.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 23c | 65.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…ed6bbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 21c | 62.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…4341backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 62.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 26c | 50.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…0bc7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 22c | 46.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 32.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 197 | 48.2%95 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…93d3backed Olympiacos B.C. | 78c | 27.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 76cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Olympiacos B.C. | 75c | 27.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d42…0b66backed Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 25.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0165…b1c6backed Olympiacos B.C. | 80c | 24.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 79c | 20.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…62ebbacked Olympiacos B.C. | 78c | 20.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.