Euroleague · resolved market
Valencia vs. Barcelona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1db10e599d6cff76f820333d89106ba863402d6d694c9d17acc239b3a416af00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Valencia, Barcelona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,207
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Barcelona | 31c | 3,242$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.42 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Valencia | 74c | 2,851$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.46 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dba…1d6cbacked Barcelona | 29c | 2,724$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Valencia | 70c | 2,697$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.42 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Valencia | 73c | 2,219$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.26 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Barcelona | 32c | 2,180$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Valencia | 72c | 1,889$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.61 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Barcelona | 27c | 1,221$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.82 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Barcelona | 3c | 1,162$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Barcelona | 26c | 950.57$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.58 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Valencia | 74c | 624.05$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Barcelona | 21c | 569.08$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.75 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Barcelona | 18c | 500$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Valencia | 73c | 499.71$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Barcelona | 21c | 483.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.31 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Barcelona | 29c | 450.7$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.73 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Barcelona | 16c | 431.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…d74ebacked Valencia | 70c | 426.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.76 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Barcelona | 24c | 391.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Barcelona | 18c | 368.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.15 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Barcelona | 29c | 326$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.68 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…24c5backed Barcelona | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Barcelona | 24c | 291.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Barcelona | 26c | 269$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.82 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Barcelona | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Valencia | 67c | 256.84$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Valencia | 69c | 249.89$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.21 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Barcelona | 31c | 243.48$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Barcelona | 26c | 211.07$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.21 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Barcelona | 7c | 208.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Valencia | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd981…c309backed Valencia | 68c | 160$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Barcelona | 28c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Valencia | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8c…191cbacked Valencia | 74c | 135.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Barcelona | 16c | 127.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Barcelona | 31c | 104.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84e6…d1dcbacked Barcelona | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed Barcelona | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Valencia | 67c | 81.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Barcelona | 29c | 69.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Valencia | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Barcelona | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Barcelona | 28c | 47.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -79%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…0747backed Valencia | 68c | 43.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Barcelona | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Barcelona | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Valencia | 67c | 38.64$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4581…0e43backed Valencia | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Barcelona | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…f4ffbacked Barcelona | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Barcelona | 34c | 29.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…93d3backed Valencia | 69c | 25.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 76cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Valencia | 68c | 23.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 76cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked Valencia | 68c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed Valencia | 69c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.