Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68e309ea135d305ddb80ef727aa59ff9690e625fdd43420682ba69af915f6727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21d5…442bbacked Over | 67c | 2,537$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 2,472$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.03 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 1,364$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.42 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Over | 66c | 1,140$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.4 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 1,135$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.94 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Over | 60c | 733.33$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 66c | 699.99$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.99 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 683.92$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.34 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…311abacked Over | 33c | 565.57$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +80%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd2…9a46backed Under | 35c | 457$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.05 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 65c | 457$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.05 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 80c | 455.07$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.06 | 138 | 55.8%77 W · 61 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Over | 31c | 399.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c11…bd90backed Over | 66c | 360$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 32c | 184.83$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.59 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Over | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 69c | 145.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Under | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Over | 65c | 99.97$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 107 | 73.8%79 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 67c | 71.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.9 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 40c | 68.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 22c | 65.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 65c | 63.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 39c | 50.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 55c | 47.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 31c | 46.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 35c | 38.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 32c | 34.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 35c | 33.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0926…3903backed Over | 67c | 29.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 67c | 25.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…37a5backed Over | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f23…441fbacked Under | 66c | 21.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Over | 68c | 20.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0255…4eb0backed Over | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…93d3backed Over | 77c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.