Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10629f4f95b8ed780045e27e99d147b3b384744d7c30f76a69426d2cdf6548a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,601
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 59c | 5,951$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.24 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Over | 41c | 4,360$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 61c | 2,240$1,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.86 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 53c | 1,716$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.67 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 39c | 1,104$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.55 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 39c | 700$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 663.25$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.02 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Under | 37c | 523.14$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.63 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 38c | 437$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.06 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 355.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.44 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 58c | 355.81$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.44 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbe…595dbacked Under | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 47c | 337.02$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.4 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x307e…b908backed Over | 57c | 270$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 41c | 257.57$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 16c | 245.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.12 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Under | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Over | 43c | 180.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 42c | 152.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 21c | 143.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 62c | 130.22$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 62c | 124.66$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 40c | 120$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc464…5139backed Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 41c | 102.96$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…ff88backed Under | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf95…ace5backed Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 93.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb70…52c0backed Under | 57c | 87.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.86 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 44c | 84.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbaca…49e6backed Under | 59c | 83.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b27…0b98backed Under | 44c | 82.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Over | 39c | 69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6b58backed Over | 40c | 67.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.20per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Over | 40c | 63.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 59c | 55.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 64c | 53.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 38c | 50.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa597…79d7backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Under | 43c | 41.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 42c | 41.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…04d8backed Over | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 58c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 58c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Under | 58c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Under | 58c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 58c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Under | 58c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 58c | 35.59$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79f…0204backed Over | 45c | 33.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Over | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Over | 49c | 22.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…75cebacked Under | 62c | 19.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 65c | 18.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.