Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x381a7ab3f733a86b195b209f64d7b8531a2ffafcd054d41e7bc76986d351aa2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 57c | 234.29$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.87 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 126.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.03 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 64.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 26c | 63.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 73c | 62.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Over | 29c | 59.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Over | 29c | 59.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 61cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed5…472bbacked Under | 73c | 52.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 44c | 37.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 42c | 32.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 50c | 31.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 50c | 24.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 71c | 23.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.