Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfedf13d96284607815baf0bd97c598a53a432af2f15b2f2732c35177368a235a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 31c | 1,782$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.84 | 2,456 | 37.9%931 W · 1,525 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Yes | 70c | 1,686$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.27 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 552.33$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 1,749 | 50.7%887 W · 862 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 52c | 454.26$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.04 | 1,126 | 46.3%521 W · 605 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 218.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.73 | 1,464 | 35.6%521 W · 943 L | -33.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…4e0bbacked Yes | 48c | 120.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 48c | 103.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 52c | 85.59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.09 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 52c | 77.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 52c | 53.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…1e9abacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce48…76b8backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc96f…93f6backed Yes | 60c | 33.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…a2fcbacked Yes | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)FC Anyang won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)FC Anyang won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.