Euroleague · resolved market
Joventut vs. Gran Canaria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78dfba837fd1b0cbec972d1eb23ac4c960823d28edd29a45590c12fb1c49423b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Joventutof Joventut, Gran Canaria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Joventut | 73c | 503.5$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.52 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…607ebacked Joventut | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 76cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gran Canaria | 21c | 457.63$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…ace4backed Joventut | 75c | 328.84$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde5…676cbacked Joventut | 79c | 296.29$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Gran Canaria | 28c | 288.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -7.5wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Gran Canaria | 30c | 271.83$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.75 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Gran Canaria | 19c | 212.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…12bbbacked Gran Canaria | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Joventut | 72c | 205$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…1b94backed Gran Canaria | 11c | 181$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Joventut | 79c | 151.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Gran Canaria | 20c | 124.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…93d3backed Joventut | 80c | 124$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 76cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Gran Canaria | 20c | 124$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gran Canaria | 19c | 119.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Gran Canaria | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Gran Canaria | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Gran Canaria | 21c | 96.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Gran Canaria | 22c | 85.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 116 | 35.3%41 W · 75 L | +9.1wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Gran Canaria | 20c | 79.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Joventut | 79c | 77.78$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked Joventut | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…c59fbacked Joventut | 79c | 58.23$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Gran Canaria | 26c | 55.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Joventut | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Gran Canaria | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…2df3backed Joventut | 79c | 43.66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Joventut | 68c | 40.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Joventut | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…899bbacked Gran Canaria | 27c | 38.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 209 | 36.4%76 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…27e8backed Joventut | 75c | 35.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe092…d209backed Joventut | 71c | 31.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf79…796ebacked Joventut | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Joventut | 70c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…7b14backed Joventut | 79c | 17.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.66 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 75cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Joventut | 79c | 13.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.