Tennis · resolved market
Cordoba: Samuel Linde vs Tomas Farjat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9ffdc720fa1ea85342635ded884e78b131b20864a8cec535262bf0efaf70169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Samuel Lindeof Samuel Linde, Tomas Farjat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73af…b880backed Tomas Farjat | 2c | 40,000$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.28 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tomas Farjat | 20c | 4,199$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.43 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Samuel Linde | 46c | 2,025$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.87 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tomas Farjat | 53c | 1,959$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.06 | 9,231 | 44.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L | -241.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed Samuel Linde | 38c | 1,354$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.66 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Tomas Farjat | 43c | 999.55$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.81 | 252 | 45.2%114 W · 138 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tomas Farjat | 47c | 806.7$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.42 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Tomas Farjat | 62c | 727.8$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,844 | 45.7%843 W · 1,001 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Samuel Linde | 58c | 606.33$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.41 | 4,466 | 67.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L | +299.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Tomas Farjat | 54c | 599.76$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.05 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Tomas Farjat | 46c | 424.47$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.26 | 1,842 | 44.8%825 W · 1,017 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba1…0365backed Tomas Farjat | 72c | 418.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Tomas Farjat | 62c | 414.29$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.86 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Samuel Linde | 34c | 383.29$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.5 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Samuel Linde | 58c | 376.64$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.19 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Tomas Farjat | 14c | 348.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Tomas Farjat | 45c | 309.51$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.17 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Tomas Farjat | 62c | 299.45$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.66 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Samuel Linde | 44c | 299.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.55 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Tomas Farjat | 57c | 220.9$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.15 | 303 | 39.9%121 W · 182 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Samuel Linde | 29c | 220.42$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.27 | 2,004 | 53.2%1,067 W · 937 L | +52.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Samuel Linde | 55c | 200.01$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Samuel Linde | 25c | 198.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.2 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Tomas Farjat | 52c | 190.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.3 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Samuel Linde | 59c | 185.3$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.53 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Tomas Farjat | 75c | 182.57$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.93 | 1,040 | 58.2%605 W · 435 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…e042backed Samuel Linde | 38c | 156.37$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Samuel Linde | 56c | 152.46$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.32 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Samuel Linde | 43c | 150.62$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.62 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tomas Farjat | 10c | 150.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Samuel Linde | 43c | 143.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 1,219 | 55%670 W · 549 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9de…c026backed Samuel Linde | 38c | 137$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…7520backed Tomas Farjat | 66c | 135.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ced…9753backed Tomas Farjat | 45c | 130.1$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Samuel Linde | 52c | 122.07$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Samuel Linde | 39c | 108.38$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.61 | 3,862 | 34.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L | +92.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed Tomas Farjat | 14c | 102.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Tomas Farjat | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Tomas Farjat | 36c | 96.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Samuel Linde | 34c | 94.76$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.98 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Samuel Linde | 51c | 91.76$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.96 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Tomas Farjat | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 594 | 40.2%239 W · 355 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Tomas Farjat | 56c | 84.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Tomas Farjat | 72c | 82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Tomas Farjat | 32c | 81.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3368…2079backed Samuel Linde | 43c | 69.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.7 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Samuel Linde | 54c | 68.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Tomas Farjat | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abc…8af1backed Tomas Farjat | 63c | 60.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 85 | 24.7%21 W · 64 L | -14.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Samuel Linde | 60c | 59.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.11 | 1,354 | 43.9%595 W · 759 L | -62.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Samuel Linde | 62c | 59.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2089…1697backed Samuel Linde | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…325fbacked Samuel Linde | 76c | 52.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 75cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Tomas Farjat | 58c | 51.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Tomas Farjat | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Samuel Linde | 40c | 48.19$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 4,070 | 39.7%1,617 W · 2,453 L | +92.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Samuel Linde | 47c | 48.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Samuel Linde | 55c | 47.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Samuel Linde | 52c | 46.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…19a9backed Tomas Farjat | 57c | 44.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Tomas Farjat | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Tomas Farjat | 68c | 42.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Samuel Linde | 37c | 42.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Tomas Farjat | 63c | 42.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Tomas Farjat | 33c | 35.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Samuel Linde | 61c | 33.93$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Tomas Farjat | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Samuel Linde | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Tomas Farjat | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Samuel Linde | 47c | 29.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 330 | 65.8%217 W · 113 L | +25.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Tomas Farjat | 53c | 26.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea97…a471backed Tomas Farjat | 65c | 23.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed35…84fbbacked Samuel Linde | 48c | 21.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x785b…7a46backed Tomas Farjat | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…b3dcbacked Samuel Linde | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Tomas Farjat | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Tomas Farjat | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…b02fbacked Tomas Farjat | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cordoba: Samuel Linde vs Tomas Farjatthis page
- Linde vs. Farjat: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Linde vs FarjatFarjat won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.