TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2089…1697

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: WNBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 53 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Katerina Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.57
Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Donna Vekicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.68
Hamburg: Jan Kumstat vs Marvin Moellerbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$21.33
Astana: Aziz Dougaz vs Hayato Matsuokabacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.74
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Kokoro Isomurabacked Kokoro Isomura · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Roland Garros WTA: Magdalena Frech vs Gabriela Rusebacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cordoba: Guido Justo vs Franco Roncadellibacked Franco Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.22
Bordeaux: Alex Molcan vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.73
Cordoba: Franco Roncadelli vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidabacked Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bordeaux: Martin Damm vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$36.72
Bordeaux: Rei Sakamoto vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Bengaluru 2: Keegan Smith vs Dominik Palanbacked Dominik Palan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Bengaluru 2: Joshua Charlton vs Ognjen Milicbacked Joshua Charlton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cordoba: Samuel Linde vs Tomas Farjatbacked Samuel Linde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$34.94
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landalucebacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Bordeaux: Rinky Hijikata vs Aleksandar Vukicbacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Jelena Ostapenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Bengaluru 2: Kriish Tyagi vs Taiyo Yamanakabacked Taiyo Yamanaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Bengaluru 2: Kokoro Isomura vs Karan Singhbacked Karan Singh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Kalinskaya vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$13.03
Jiujiang: Alexis Galarneau vs Dane Sweenybacked Dane Sweeny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.45
All 22 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+320%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+320%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chengdu Rongcheng FC win on 2026-05-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$12.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.