Tennis · resolved market
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Kokoro Isomura
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x754ee77cc53e1c12e29762858f5c7de2800631cc1bd3ea918ad3768131dd28f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pawit Sornlaksupof Pawit Sornlaksup, Kokoro Isomura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,665
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Kokoro Isomura | 23c | 429.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.42 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kokoro Isomura | 22c | 365.47$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.63 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Kokoro Isomura | 52c | 216.5$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.58 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 48c | 212.35$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kokoro Isomura | 10c | 205.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 79c | 191.2$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 79c | 146$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 75c | 142.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 78c | 125.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Kokoro Isomura | 25c | 114$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Kokoro Isomura | 17c | 112.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kokoro Isomura | 22c | 111.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 61c | 67.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 71c | 62.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 48c | 51.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2089…1697backed Kokoro Isomura | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 76c | 30.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Pawit Sornlaksup | 73c | 27.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Pawit Sornlaksup | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.