TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,471
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,421

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,471 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes65c9,199$5,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.7518352.5%96 W · 87 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No27c8,779$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,351.332,28134.3%782 W · 1,499 L-30.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes79c3,793$3,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.328,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No35c3,657$1,289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,289.4216647%78 W · 88 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No35c2,642$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.311,94451.3%998 W · 946 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No43c2,243$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.3528651.7%148 W · 138 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes74c1,461$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.735,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked No39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes64c1,212$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.3951749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes65c1,039$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.0421844.5%97 W · 121 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed No38c1,026$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.397332.9%24 W · 49 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a91…0776backed No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9f9…0eaabacked No21c955.76$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed No43c909.09$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.096946.4%32 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No20c868.09$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.621,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No35c789$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.012,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No13c717.45$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.471,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes65c510.23$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.7912741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed No20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No4c462.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7682434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86b3…7650backed No22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No36c406.91$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.031,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes78c397.77$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.261,30250.2%653 W · 649 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No11c373.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.769122%20 W · 71 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ba…b99abacked Yes66c344.11$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1172951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c35…3f6dbacked Yes77c298$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.641353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+30.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Yes74c219.25$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4913248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No34c209.97$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.721,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed No9c201.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2211230.4%34 W · 78 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-41%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes72c183.39$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.741,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x535e…7024backed Yes80c174$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-30.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No36c165.97$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.71,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3ee…56fdbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick70cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca5…a155backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8e4…ff59backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No22c147.49$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0394848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No25c121.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4225044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked No36c119.97$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5918452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No27c106.74$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0241145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No24c103.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.821640.3%87 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337862.8%49 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0633…cfdebacked Yes78c94.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.94969.4%34 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Yes77c90.8$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0863657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No16c86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5871619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No35c85$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.752,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfddc…931abacked Yes68c84.03$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.891566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes65c80.54$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1926749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes80c78.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6589645.4%407 W · 489 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed No35c72.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.59741.2%40 W · 57 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No36c71.6$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7829053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No35c68.17$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.741,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Yes80c67.56$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7725866.3%171 W · 87 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed No23c55.91$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9b1…daa0backed No37c54.59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked No37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.032744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes71c51.45$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7942946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xffc9…bf01backed Yes78c50.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.27554.7%41 W · 34 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed No37c50.11$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0e…c7a6backed Yes65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.55444.4%24 W · 30 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked No35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.510847.2%51 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes77c47.74$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0334155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58ff…2b2ebacked Yes65c47.29$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.551250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec3e…11c0backed Yes58c43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.062462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd538…feb9backed Yes66c42.42$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6818140.3%73 W · 108 L+0.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fb2…8523backed Yes78c38.46$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.46250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed No35c38.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4510652.8%56 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf133…4811backed No35c35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.258439.3%33 W · 51 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yes64c32.78$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.87950.6%40 W · 39 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x038f…ecc5backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…4a78backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251540%6 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3bf3…8f91backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed No35c30.05$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4612948.1%62 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes58c29.31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3111849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes71c28.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3219761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2089…1697backed Yes65c24.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c8f…da09backed Yes71c22.63$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.633554.3%19 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6709…37bfbacked Yes75c22.37$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.67450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa0…08c3backed Yes78c21.6$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5170…b5bcbacked Yes80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Yes79c18.03$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.8557157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed Yes80c16.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.34271.4%30 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c92…b910backed Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…4e99backed Yes79c15.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.253100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Yes80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.0720958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.