Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbd126c8d65b375bdb94803bd457cf9c6b2e5445a79c5da9c00ad58fc9c95cfd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed No | 49c | 7,935$3,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,046.69 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 4,454$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked No | 48c | 3,654$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…f406backed Yes | 41c | 3,537$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 51c | 3,074$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.66 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,897$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,692$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 48c | 1,847$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.3 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 52c | 1,798$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.85 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 35c | 1,757$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.63 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 55c | 1,518$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.05 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 52c | 1,500$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.5 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,402$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 49c | 1,076$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.94 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 52c | 950$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | -9.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 45c | 912.92$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.06 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 53c | 732.97$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.82 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…2937backed No | 49c | 637.99$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.37 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Yes | 51c | 582.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 49c | 408.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.83 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 44c | 329.55$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 45c | 215.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 189$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa498…245ebacked Yes | 52c | 180.56$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 13c | 153.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 34c | 136.52$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Yes | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed No | 60c | 130$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 42c | 110.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 53c | 103.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 56c | 98.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.35 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 53c | 97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.09 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 93.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 37c | 91.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +42%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 41c | 89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.49 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 71c | 81.09$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 66c | 73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.82 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 71c | 66.74$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 32c | 66.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 20c | 61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 71c | 60.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 44c | 56.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…3302backed Yes | 43c | 50.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 59c | 50.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Yes | 52c | 48.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…dba6backed Yes | 40c | 47.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 54c | 44.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 39c | 43.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaf…3c61backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…d8a6backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 76c | 33.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2089…1697backed Yes | 44c | 31.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 69c | 31.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 48c | 31.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 66c | 29.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 99 | 68.7%68 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Yes | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed No | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Yes | 52c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 57c | 24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 55c | 21.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 51c | 20.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 54c | 20.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed No | 65c | 16.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 66c | 15.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…fb76backed No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.