TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,201,544
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,644,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,201,544 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 300 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa136…97debacked Yes48c1,192,246$576,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576,174.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed No51c518,216$266,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252,100.965752.6%30 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No52c364,636$189,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175,025.254247.6%20 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Yes48c181,356$86,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,602.998743.7%38 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No54c86,522$47,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,465.182,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed No53c83,189$44,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,889.15850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes46c72,496$33,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,460.468139.5%32 W · 49 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No52c61,151$31,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,637.8593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No52c59,981$31,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,890.817160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No52c38,160$19,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,316.83548.6%17 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c26,219$13,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,621.4298544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No52c22,968$11,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,065.433951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No52c17,231$8,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,240.0532650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No52c14,423$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,923.088354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes36c12,105$4,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,321.516819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No52c11,040$5,741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,299.240447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes49c10,917$5,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,402.368342.2%35 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No55c10,352$5,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,621.7234239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4f2…b35fbacked Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f0…b809backed No51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9002055%11 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No52c7,248$3,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,478.781369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.30per pick39cpaid+86.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xee19…555ebacked Yes47c7,026$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,328.416048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed No52c7,000$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3602445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c6,007$3,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.5635646.6%166 W · 190 L-0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No55c5,510$3,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.8249850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cfa…0738backed Yes0c5,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No52c5,219$2,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,521.6219952.8%105 W · 94 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes47c4,844$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.7168750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…90cbbacked No52c4,334$2,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,080.151127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-43.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No52c4,146$2,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,01013839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfe3…c693backed Yes48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed No52c4,000$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9124170.7%29 W · 12 L+7.4wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+41.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No52c3,924$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,873.715259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0fd…a0a9backed No51c3,744$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.561478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick49cpaid+87.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcf83…248bbacked No53c3,718$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No52c3,200$1,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5366165.6%40 W · 21 L+7.9wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed No53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.974663%29 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No52c2,885$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,384.621560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No53c2,829$1,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,329.636659.1%39 W · 27 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes49c2,714$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,33033951.6%175 W · 164 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No47c2,507$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.6846742.8%200 W · 267 L-1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked No52c2,400$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1524971.4%35 W · 14 L+9.6wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+45.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No52c2,257$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.1118951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed No52c2,177$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.16365.1%41 W · 22 L+7.3wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No52c2,163$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.541954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26e7…cc6cbacked Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.991947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No52c2,019$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.129652.1%50 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cef…fa91backed No53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$940944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed No53c1,998$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.253759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No52c1,887$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.373167.7%21 W · 10 L+5.2wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+32.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No52c1,844$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.4743058.6%252 W · 178 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.183964.1%25 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes45c1,794$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.358548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed No52c1,765$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.3817744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked No46c1,754$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.233847.4%18 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick37cpaid-19.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No52c1,687$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.4136456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32f6…9538backed Yes49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No47c1,494$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.8113350.4%67 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No53c1,472$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$699.22378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.25per pick53cpaid+50.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed No52c1,464$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.552152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2003…af6fbacked No48c1,269$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6632100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed No51c1,203$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-39.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5763773%27 W · 10 L+7.4wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed No52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5765862.1%36 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No48c1,195$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$627.282951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Yes48c1,181$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.0513447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No53c1,150$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.56360.3%38 W · 25 L+7.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No56c1,088$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.728958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Yes19c1,053$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003663.9%23 W · 13 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick46cpaid+43.4%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes49c980.39$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.3915946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes47c957.45$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4503951.3%20 W · 19 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No57c952.25$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.0739740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No57c921.21$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.445955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No55c909.09$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.141,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed No51c880.47$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.471283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+60.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No53c800$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3806666.7%44 W · 22 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed No52c800$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.45168.6%35 W · 16 L+8.1wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+34.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No61c798.39$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.0241144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed No61c796.59$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.672646.2%12 W · 14 L-3.9wins-0.15per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No52c761.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.975547.3%26 W · 29 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5012…4d3ebacked No53c756.18$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.521650%8 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Yes45c728.84$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.46616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-70.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed No51c725.45$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.923154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No52c720$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.24472.7%32 W · 12 L+8.9wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+44.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes43c718.25$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.422743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No53c700$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3298360.2%50 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+18.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No58c691.51$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.514647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed No52c666.83$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9212351.2%63 W · 60 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No53c650$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.56861.8%42 W · 26 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed No53c640$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3045367.9%36 W · 17 L+8.3wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2827358.9%43 W · 30 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2343363.6%21 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No52c600$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.84669.6%32 W · 14 L+8.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2886369.8%44 W · 19 L+11.2wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed No52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2886170.5%43 W · 18 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+37.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked No52c599.99$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No52c593$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6414651.4%75 W · 71 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No54c561.48$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.284242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.