Serie A · resolved market
Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68693ec52ab8394355369032fbc52c8f1a9eb9ff14ce3320c8c11f5ef8b2569d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $117,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Yes | 25c | 39,064$9,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,750 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 24c | 10,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 77c | 10,000$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 75c | 7,018$5,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,754.51 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 11c | 6,909$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.73 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 75c | 6,665$4,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.23 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 5,257$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.79 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 3,755$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.6 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 80c | 2,793$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.86 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 2,643$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.7 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 24c | 2,176$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.58 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 2,150$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…5edbbacked No | 76c | 2,129$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.94 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 24c | 1,960$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.84 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 799.5$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 356 | 46.6%166 W · 190 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 672.16$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.65 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 3c | 670.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 76c | 599.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +11.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa0db…56d5backed No | 77c | 584.42$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.42 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 75c | 583.34$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 511.11$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 16c | 488.33$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 411 | 44.3%182 W · 229 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 76c | 460$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.4 | 364 | 56.3%205 W · 159 L | +19.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 25c | 438.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.69 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 24c | 403.82$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 75c | 385.42$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.35 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 78c | 375$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7291…78e2backed No | 76c | 281.19$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 76c | 264.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.44 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 75c | 245.83$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.3 | 227 | 43.2%98 W · 129 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf393…9b65backed Yes | 19c | 208.21$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 76c | 199$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.76 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 75c | 196.28$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.07 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc936…c08abacked Yes | 21c | 176.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes | 12c | 138.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 138$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 207 | 49.3%102 W · 105 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…d890backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa386…cb0fbacked No | 76c | 111.25$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +253.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 78c | 101.28$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.28 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 101$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 76c | 99.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 153 | 54.2%83 W · 70 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 222 | 37.4%83 W · 139 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 90$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 77c | 87.77$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked No | 77c | 85.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 79c | 78.72$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…a311backed Yes | 16c | 75.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 18c | 63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 25c | 61.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 23c | 59.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 77c | 59.84$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked No | 76c | 57.66$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 76c | 56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 75c | 39.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…cfdebacked No | 76c | 35.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.54 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1548…fe8ebacked No | 79c | 34.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed No | 76c | 34.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 76c | 33.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked No | 77c | 29.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked No | 76c | 28.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 76c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 76c | 26.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…9817backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4e…e6d2backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 78c | 18.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.97 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc942…a8a1backed No | 76c | 16.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 76c | 14.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cf…0f46backed No | 76c | 14.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfe…4b94backed No | 76c | 13.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.24 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-05-10?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.