TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$83,327
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$89,597

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,327 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19e2…ce3cbacked Yes40c36,889$14,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,133.24254.8%23 W · 19 L+4.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No60c16,127$9,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,676.175459.3%32 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed No60c10,021$6,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,011.347160.6%43 W · 28 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No28c8,123$2,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,283.3616819.6%33 W · 135 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-31%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No59c2,149$1,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.2634239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes55c1,409$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.881,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes48c1,124$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.441144.3%182 W · 229 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No72c1,100$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7924860.4%29 W · 19 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xceee…d39ebacked No71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7104242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No16c919.16$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.492951.7%15 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick39cpaid+33.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7ee…fe5dbacked Yes29c862.07$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.071435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No60c834$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.42867.9%19 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No53c829.61$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.875955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-17.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes28c770.07$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.3715946.5%74 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x454a…f8d2backed Yes29c733.91$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.912133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No50c733.51$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.2649850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No72c594.44$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4282080%16 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Yes36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3203636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-28.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c411$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.741954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No16c393.97$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5531738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes30c390.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.69540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No60c387.6$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5639740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.838644.2%38 W · 48 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes55c336.35$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.622,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93156.7%1 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-78.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No37c293.76$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.325244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c46…ce9bbacked Yes28c285.72$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.721346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-16.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x141a…95a9backed Yes28c278$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.16955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+94.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x059d…10e3backed No18c277.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.952441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes43c262.74$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.2827453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No71c243.56$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.9311153.2%59 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed No32c218.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7012035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No11c201.21$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.133946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed No40c199.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802450%12 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No72c191.17$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.649950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No71c190$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.936456.3%205 W · 159 L+19.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No71c188.27$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6798544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c181.04$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5439354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes64c179.69$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.692035%7 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes29c144.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.9414258.5%83 W · 59 L+10.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04e5…070fbacked Yes74c126.39$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed No60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Yes29c106.9$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.47per pick36cpaid+145.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No49c106.07$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4421748.8%106 W · 111 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde8e…3289backed No71c100$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed No30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes28c99.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9913146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No60c96.61$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9632650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No71c90$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.94553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes35c89.64$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.2622743.2%98 W · 129 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No70c87.77$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.034452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No18c82$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8216219.1%31 W · 131 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-33.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No52c76.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6214442.4%61 W · 83 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d05…864cbacked Yes36c71.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.041533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc809…5f4ebacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No59c67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6611547.8%55 W · 60 L-6.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No71c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.68962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes29c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.621054.3%114 W · 96 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c57.17$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5241854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb91…3294backed No71c56.34$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes29c55.17$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.173438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No58c54.87$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.827762.3%48 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b0b…12ffbacked Yes29c54.55$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.733237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302055%11 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes28c50$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3615354.2%83 W · 70 L+11.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+23.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.56544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes71c40.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5520452%106 W · 98 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.215844.9%71 W · 87 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed No72c38.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5313839.9%55 W · 83 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c38.23$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5368750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No71c34.94$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.813357.6%19 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbad…4f53backed Yes43c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.882157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+41.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x45cf…0f46backed No47c34.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.222955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb821…5cddbacked No72c32.61$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.484163.4%26 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3803…ee90backed Yes40c32.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e43…2578backed No61c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.952951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked No67c29.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.095552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9132…6607backed Yes52c22.89$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.891275%9 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+19.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed No71c22.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6913447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Yes56c21.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4910262.7%64 W · 38 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes54c20.81$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5726241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea65…d27dbacked No71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.23672.2%26 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7e0…a311backed No60c18.06$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.84825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed No60c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No72c17.92$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.97365.8%48 W · 25 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked No72c15.29$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.967665.8%50 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3522…31a8backed Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.5540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.