La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x144c05101e38466b80c08a43055cdf7e71b649e9cb4819cc5d86941ca202e63c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.37 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 1,311$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.73 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 17c | 774.33$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a1…7833backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed No | 74c | 641.89$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.89 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 18c | 589.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.16 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 73c | 383.41$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.8 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 6c | 299$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes | 19c | 263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa0…62dfbacked Yes | 19c | 263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 25c | 195$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Yes | 20c | 144.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -8.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…0163backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 77c | 98.62$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.73 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 28c | 92.86$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8e…0404backed Yes | 14c | 88.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2089…1697backed Yes | 26c | 60.51$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 28c | 53.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 80c | 49.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 268 | 53%142 W · 126 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 26c | 46.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 75c | 35.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 18.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?this page
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-24?Yes won
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.