La Liga · resolved market
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb8bb1bf941ea3b73ac4c77465bbb8f8fe894df714b3f3fc7b304a6228c2814c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,422
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,422 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 4,193$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.94 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 54c | 4,158$2,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.3 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 43c | 2,317$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 2,153$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.33 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Yes | 13c | 1,992$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 28c | 1,544$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.7 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 48c | 1,531$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 64c | 1,431$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.77 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +82%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 36c | 753.19$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.79 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 54c | 685.19$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.19 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 20c | 669.59$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 7c | 605.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.19 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 46c | 479.51$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.01 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 24c | 465.65$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.62 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 17c | 343.01$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.51 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 46c | 216.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…be6abacked Yes | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed Yes | 58c | 197$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…7ea0backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 42c | 160$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 16c | 142.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 44c | 134.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.79 | 178 | 42.1%75 W · 103 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes | 11c | 102.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 54c | 98.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked No | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…75f4backed Yes | 57c | 56.2$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 47c | 53.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 44.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 77c | 42.06$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Yes | 51c | 36.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…feb3backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 56c | 33.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 55c | 33.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 36c | 33.24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked No | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 44c | 31.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 42c | 31.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 55c | 31.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked Yes | 71c | 26.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 47c | 22.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 56c | 22.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 69c | 21.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 79c | 19.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 105 | 56.2%59 W · 46 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked No | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-24?this page
- Will FC Andorra vs. AD Ceuta FC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.