TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No63c2,665$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$992.7275240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes22c2,009$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.6130841.2%127 W · 181 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No72c1,608$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.618,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No78c1,407$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5921252.4%111 W · 101 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Yes21c909.7$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.6121132.7%69 W · 142 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No65c759.89$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.621,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x973f…dc4ebacked Yes41c738.59$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4073…97a1backed Yes47c632.16$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No57c523.21$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.647763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15518543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes47c487$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.892722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No55c432.06$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.431,94551.3%998 W · 947 L+40.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58ff…2b2ebacked Yes45c418.04$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.121250%6 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes40c390$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1563948.7%19 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No54c381.15$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.683,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes45c375.24$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.418452.2%96 W · 88 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes43c337.87$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6226745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes15c330$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b9f…0de7backed Yes25c324.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Yes49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No61c306$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.6899259.1%586 W · 406 L+108.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes31c292.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0623254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12c8…5955backed Yes44c267.18$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes46c238.6$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.614824.3%36 W · 112 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa774…005fbacked No61c235$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked Yes34c224.94$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes34c218.44$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7950643.9%222 W · 284 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed No54c218$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.283836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3218…4355backed Yes45c215.51$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75de…98c0backed Yes47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes40c212.5$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-31.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbffb…a60ebacked No78c199.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes23c197.44$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7825044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1912958.1%75 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…4f6dbacked Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes47c180.85$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick32cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No52c172$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.822,61454.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L+25.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes35c171.28$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011717.9%21 W · 96 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes46c168.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.742,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes38c147.44$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No71c140.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1434155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc115…9138backed Yes20c126.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510031%31 W · 69 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No64c124.05$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.895,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2089…1697backed Yes20c115$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-61.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e44…f14dbacked Yes21c109.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.28911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-85.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc398…1297backed Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes34c104.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.852133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No69c103.63$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.5953836.8%198 W · 340 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes46c103.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3125955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed No55c102.55$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No55c100.5$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.731,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4720…007bbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4051654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113e…ca7cbacked Yes21c99.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211040%4 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+84.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No56c98.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.231,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes45c89.62$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.331,65550.6%838 W · 817 L-4.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes38c84.09$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3241145.5%187 W · 224 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes46c84.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3970055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7173…7a4cbacked No62c83.66$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…2777backed Yes30c82.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Yes38c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3315651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ad…365abacked Yes37c78.76$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.06616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid+11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes45c76.75$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.542,28734.3%784 W · 1,503 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf6d…fc98backed Yes15c71.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.76825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked No53c69.45$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6427549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa734…65dbbacked Yes44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301020%2 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-64%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x44ac…a025backed Yes44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No69c68$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0823044.3%102 W · 128 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x80c9…0a29backed Yes47c67.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9240%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49ab…a1bfbacked Yes38c66.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.35per pick46cpaid-77.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No69c65.97$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.4544843.8%196 W · 252 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes40c62.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.991,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f8…f4cfbacked No67c61.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee84…becbbacked Yes47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-44.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes24c52.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6142946.2%198 W · 231 L-2.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa574…0559backed Yes31c51.85$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162669.2%18 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x303e…96ffbacked Yes20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102128.6%6 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-37.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No70c49.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8613248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Yes40c49.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6519761.9%122 W · 75 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2827…64f6backed No61c48.63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1411864.4%76 W · 42 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4573…1c07backed Yes28c47.3$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked No54c46.86$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5614844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc363…8845backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+40%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040442.1%170 W · 234 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x411e…72f0backed Yes44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes44c45.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991,44237.6%542 W · 900 L+4.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c44.51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.171,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f4…e6d4backed Yes25c44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeede…1c7bbacked Yes47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4013…6d56backed Yes34c40.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No68c40.19$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9210249%50 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No68c39.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.763657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Yes40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No54c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.025060%30 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfd…dfe7backed No67c36.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.954862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb777…4311backed Yes44c34.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed No56c33$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.526656.1%37 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bab…8322backed Yes46c32.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.