South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73eacd26194ff95fbf38c3d4bd2ef94bada3d957c1ff958f5c6092d3d45af46b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,455
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 5,917$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,293.48 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34b8…81afbacked Yes | 72c | 2,903$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.08 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 34c | 2,788$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.9 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Yes | 51c | 1,950$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,873$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.15 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 73c | 1,112$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.24 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…3d37backed Yes | 60c | 1,066$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 40c | 1,007$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.72 | 506 | 43.9%222 W · 284 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 33c | 960.13$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.8 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 39c | 758.62$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.34 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 25c | 738.66$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.61 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 44c | 666.23$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.3 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +8.0wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 73c | 634.06$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.06 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 45c | 535.34$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.87 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Yes | 74c | 409.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765d…2e22backed Yes | 74c | 295.23$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 57c | 278.4$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.71 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 34c | 255.8$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.16 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 63c | 197.52$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.82 | 250 | 44%110 W · 140 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.19 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73ed…06d5backed Yes | 28c | 179.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…cc6bbacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb8…3058backed Yes | 61c | 169.53$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 63c | 158.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 150.72$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.52 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 27c | 131.48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.98 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 60c | 127.12$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 55c | 116.7$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 112.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed No | 37c | 107.83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 62c | 105.74$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 411 | 45.5%187 W · 224 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 27c | 104$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 27c | 90.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed Yes | 36c | 86.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.75 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 58c | 72$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570a…6e46backed Yes | 29c | 69.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4573…1c07backed No | 24c | 69.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 39c | 67.69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 60c | 67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…b12cbacked No | 73c | 66.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 32c | 65.23$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 44c | 61.42$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 42c | 60.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…7b2dbacked No | 73c | 56.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.48per pick | 62cpaid | -81%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b2…4171backed No | 73c | 55.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 64cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6944…3902backed Yes | 78c | 55.34$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked No | 69c | 51.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 72c | 49.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.41 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 29c | 47.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Yes | 51c | 45.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe728…f32fbacked Yes | 29c | 44.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +245.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…9904backed Yes | 33c | 44.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.88 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Yes | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 62c | 40.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6664…5b75backed No | 63c | 39.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ea…ce0bbacked Yes | 76c | 39.26$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 51c | 38.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8521…df10backed No | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed No | 63c | 32.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 60c | 32.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2673…5ac9backed No | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 67c | 26.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 62c | 24.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 308 | 58.4%180 W · 128 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 61c | 24.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked No | 50c | 24.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…955cbacked No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 74c | 15.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 72c | 14.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CF Cruz Azul vs. CD Guadalajara end in a draw?this page
- Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-05-13?No won
- Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2026-05-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.