TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$166,899
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$180,150

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,899 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over40c59,990$24,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,139.1331947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under50c44,685$22,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,552.3218758.8%110 W · 77 L+12.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over53c19,290$10,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,223.710765.4%70 W · 37 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c17,475$9,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,597.896,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under45c12,547$5,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,857.056139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x073f…ed92backed Over47c8,346$3,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,913.861266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+44.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked Over51c8,273$4,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,219.2918950.3%95 W · 94 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under52c7,259$3,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,488.844,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Under49c5,515$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.659061.1%55 W · 35 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+18.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under78c4,215$3,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.1520239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00012649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under58c3,421$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.2775542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under42c3,162$1,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,823.3181234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50020545.4%93 W · 112 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f1c…5f43backed Over51c2,904$1,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked Under77c2,478$1,919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.352152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over73c1,999$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.2719235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under78c1,862$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.396445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over15c1,640$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.272343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46c…6bc6backed Over63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under48c1,440$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.5669742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c1,417$812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.141,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5634…d81abacked Under50c1,400$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7034151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c1,216$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over52c1,154$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010338.8%40 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16e5…6373backed Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5201546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under48c881.87$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.1557847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bbb…48f2backed Over63c864.14$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5461145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under47c855.2$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.4422049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Over70c750.54$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.381250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under47c700$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.3955351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Under46c694.88$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.241353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Over53c642.19$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.364557.8%26 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdf…8116backed Over64c605.97$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.8220%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c598.83$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.3974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over52c586.21$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.836852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under52c574.02$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.9811437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over51c573.23$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.359042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under50c542.84$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.312454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc18…2fd7backed Over47c531.26$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over49c516.84$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2154132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fac…2f27backed Under46c512.93$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+113.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under36c500$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3202259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.18per pick41cpaid+30.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over53c484.08$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.561,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed Under47c473.68$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.572528%7 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under48c460.55$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.82,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under77c460.21$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2295332.5%310 W · 643 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over54c418.52$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22640655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x135d…56c0backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-43.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over10c373.09$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5721250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over52c354$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.591,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4691…2a8abacked Over69c350.75$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.631540%6 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Over57c336$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.1616024.4%39 W · 121 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9859…1650backed Over41c320$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+98.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under49c312.92$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.8880853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Over51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508851.1%45 W · 43 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over64c283.25$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.195635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c76…862dbacked Over53c272.81$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.32245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x055a…12ddbacked Over56c253.4$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.97450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fac…6b48backed Over45c222.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over63c222.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under64c214.51$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.535259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over62c206.91$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.221250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63b9…94a3backed Over51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-65.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Under45c200$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11010147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0519244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafca…92b4backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over42c180$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.62035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under49c165.96$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.9569651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over61c164.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.995757.9%33 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under36c162.47$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.982454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under38c160$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.91338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb31d…68a0backed Over76c157.89$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-53.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under48c156.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.313353.4%71 W · 62 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over66c152.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.997062.9%44 W · 26 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over70c151.64$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3325256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over54c150.94$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.516338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over54c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.2539651.5%204 W · 192 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under49c150$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.8732951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under47c148.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.945152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over10c140.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.377236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4849…767fbacked Over53c136$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Over74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8cb…3e3fbacked Over52c134.62$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under65c130.09$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6118358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over51c125.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.818442.9%36 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Over19c112.82$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.420041%82 W · 118 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over25c107.85$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8840640.9%166 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under39c105$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.11643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over47c104.26$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494540%18 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5515738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1468…2ca9backed Over15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Under40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5112650%63 W · 63 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7efd…caedbacked Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.