Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4e6d3055f2ec5c2549393722d5e303f36a6ec971f1337e7b40f7548e4b98550
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 2,291$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.19 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 33c | 927.83$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.68 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 645.18$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.16 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 62c | 548.65$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.94 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 72c | 487.49$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.49 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 31c | 429$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.99 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Over | 29c | 299.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.99 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 31c | 252.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.36 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 33c | 167.87$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 28c | 159.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 66c | 151.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.75 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eea…df80backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked Over | 29c | 126.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 33c | 114.56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 732 | 58.5%428 W · 304 L | +46.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 44c | 111.36$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 34c | 110$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 32c | 100.54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 100.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x140e…cf85backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 53c | 99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 66c | 87.71$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 23c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed Over | 25c | 73.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…2d85backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Over | 47c | 62.63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 20c | 62.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +13.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Over | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 28c | 51.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4b…a9aabacked Over | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 68c | 31.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 71c | 30.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…530dbacked Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 58c | 23.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 73c | 23.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 72c | 20.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 69c | 20.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Under | 71c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Under | 71c | 15.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.