Premier League · resolved market
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4867128965a1c86a189e2091e6e4fc7d48610ad16546b94c529a62efb09ae9c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 57c | 6,000$3,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,553.08 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 3,685$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,683.04 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc126…60aebacked Yes | 75c | 1,189$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.27 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed No | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 1,015$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.04 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed No | 43c | 986.23$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.08 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 962.33$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.83 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Yes | 53c | 937.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 43c | 909.57$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.54 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 44c | 745.72$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.33 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 56c | 705.96$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.7 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 44c | 598.75$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.41 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 51c | 514.01$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.26 | 160 | 24.4%39 W · 121 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 43c | 435.69$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.35 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 52c | 395.37$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.67 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…f949backed Yes | 57c | 389.47$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.47 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 42c | 383.88$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.23 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 45c | 380.41$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.42 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Yes | 54c | 380$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 42c | 365.32$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.43 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 325.02$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 47c | 280.06$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Yes | 58c | 199.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.99 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 192.14$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.7 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed No | 42c | 178$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked No | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa99…2281backed Yes | 57c | 169.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5d…6cdcbacked Yes | 52c | 150$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Yes | 54c | 144.44$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 57c | 105.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.25 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb5…c2adbacked No | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 126 | 50%63 W · 63 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…b130backed Yes | 55c | 89.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.09 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked No | 42c | 59.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed No | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked No | 47c | 42.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 54c | 40.74$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…e267backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18bc…b423backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x157a…e4a3backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9883…1d31backed No | 43c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…ce9cbacked No | 47c | 32.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 51c | 32.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…cd40backed Yes | 55c | 27.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb821…5cddbacked Yes | 54c | 26.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…3d0ebacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.