Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fc257ab536d4c5fa521902e5c040c7d592aec9310e00251d32dcad015810b06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FCof Fulham FC, Wolverhampton Wanderers FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Fulham FC | 14c | 2,814$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.46 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Fulham FC | 28c | 2,044$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.36 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4446…1fd0backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 75c | 1,327$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.11 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 72c | 565.51$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.34 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Fulham FC | 27c | 439.95$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.79 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Fulham FC | 24c | 344.09$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fulham FC | 11c | 300$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Fulham FC | 13c | 140$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…aa08backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.30per pick | 45cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 73c | 104$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 107 | 65.4%70 W · 37 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 73c | 89.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 73c | 82.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fulham FC | 13c | 76.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59d1…364cbacked Fulham FC | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac61…2a16backed Fulham FC | 28c | 66.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…b16fbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 73c | 61.05$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 74c | 53.44$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc729…d7b6backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 72c | 48.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…1770backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed1b…7ebdbacked Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 73c | 32.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 75c | 30.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 73c | 25.23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Wolverhampton Wanderers FC won
- Spread: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.