Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee1104c0ee1fe4b7dcf0c8f3fffc4302d6a10da870fa5cbad3dd2f885c6dad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e44…f14dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,234$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 25c | 7,722$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.04 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 6,972$5,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.44 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 14c | 3,930$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.96 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 2,171$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.36 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 22c | 1,534$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.78 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 4c | 618.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 21c | 479.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 16c | 278.11$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 80c | 262.13$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 79c | 238.5$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.1 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 222.45$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 1,760 | 50.3%885 W · 875 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 19c | 188.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 76c | 162.5$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 143.45$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…d412backed Yes | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Yes | 19c | 131.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 100.49$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 24c | 99.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…2a5ebacked Yes | 17c | 85.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 80c | 83.62$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Yes | 17c | 81.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 21c | 62.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 17c | 57.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 184 | 42.4%78 W · 106 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 77c | 46.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd83c…6b83backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b2…7b9cbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed35…84fbbacked No | 79c | 25.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed No | 80c | 24.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 79c | 21.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed No | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked No | 78c | 16.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?No won
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.