Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d7a550336c68eb37a784e8b68d39eec6f372fb916d35a98b0e9b2192f74cde1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 14,352$10,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.55 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 11,544$3,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,323.96 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 74c | 4,336$3,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.3 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed Yes | 27c | 3,259$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.55 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Yes | 13c | 2,881$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.74 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 73c | 2,312$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.42 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 19c | 1,628$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.25 | 242 | 47.9%116 W · 126 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 72c | 1,520$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.05 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 15c | 990.29$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.09 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88f…c334backed No | 70c | 988.6$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes | 12c | 834.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 536.71$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.49 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 71c | 511.73$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.4 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 22c | 484.97$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.04 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 376.61$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.41 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Yes | 29c | 340$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +10.9wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 30c | 321$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 33c | 306.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 33c | 298.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +33.9wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 15c | 287$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…55bebacked No | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 78c | 255.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.64 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 29c | 247.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…d890backed Yes | 10c | 206.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 201.75$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.98 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 72c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 162 | 52.5%85 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 34c | 194.36$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.08 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +8.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 77c | 185.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.33 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab9…361dbacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 78c | 161.69$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f1…53f1backed Yes | 28c | 160.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 76c | 140.51$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.72 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23a…d412backed No | 72c | 137.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed No | 73c | 137$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 77cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 14c | 135$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 71c | 125.52$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 72c | 119.99$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…8be6backed Yes | 32c | 115.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +110.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 71c | 104.38$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6d…fc98backed Yes | 15c | 90.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e2…5985backed No | 73c | 85.52$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 68c | 79.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…2fc9backed Yes | 31c | 70.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 29c | 69.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 29c | 68.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 18c | 65.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes | 31c | 64.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 27c | 53.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 28c | 46.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed No | 71c | 45.18$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 40 | 85%34 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 69c | 41.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 31.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.22 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8f…da09backed No | 71c | 28.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 71c | 16.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 71c | 14.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?this page
- Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-05-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.