TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-05-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,630

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,362 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed No60c5,368$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,170.3853040.6%215 W · 315 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c4,756$2,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,042.223,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Yes41c4,000$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6606851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No80c3,522$2,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.437549.3%37 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes20c3,516$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.278560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes43c3,459$1,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,484.081,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes42c2,833$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.9718655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf747…7d29backed No57c2,635$1,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.091643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes15c2,528$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.591,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Yes43c2,356$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.2913553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c2,081$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.2397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed No59c1,451$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.114062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009050%45 W · 45 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Yes45c1,218$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.981546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Yes40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No58c1,134$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.7819560%117 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes39c1,026$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40015748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No55c1,014$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.2577751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes43c999.99$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4305147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Yes16c889.94$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.517726%20 W · 57 L-8.9wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes16c569.53$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8712343.9%54 W · 69 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes35c532.62$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.91,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No58c505$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21110960.6%66 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes43c500$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5620249%99 W · 103 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59b4…73e0backed Yes38c397$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.232123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked No57c356.79$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.422055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No68c265.36$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7329370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Yes30c262.48$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.192941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed No78c220.54$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.541266.7%8 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes41c219.79$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.1142947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes43c218.02$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.6691553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes40c202.26$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2437649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes39c200$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes28c199.58$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6620849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No58c163.57$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6419056.3%107 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No66c156.19$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1145140.4%182 W · 269 L-18.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes42c140.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.7326150.2%131 W · 130 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Yes45c135.31$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.897140.8%29 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed No60c133.58$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.434139%16 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed No61c130$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.710243.1%44 W · 58 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes43c120$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.626050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes43c116.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1298945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No57c116$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8823858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No71c113.77$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9939567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes35c109.26$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7147240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c102.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1680358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4510757%61 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de6…8b3cbacked No60c99.03$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.617758.4%45 W · 32 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes18c94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0896756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No73c93.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.389965.7%65 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66ea…6791backed Yes45c82.22$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No61c81.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1337249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Yes29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.810249%50 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No57c73.64$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4953046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32f7…f399backed Yes44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No59c62.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.9224859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2709…9e3bbacked Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255846.6%27 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Yes29c58.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8425851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No74c55.95$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.3687154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Yes45c48.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-70.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Yes29c45.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed35…84fbbacked No58c45.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.04560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes25c43.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7236051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Yes44c42.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No75c42.63$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.983450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed No61c40.98$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.983551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Yes42c37$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-46.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0dc…ffadbacked No61c37$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4311563.5%73 W · 42 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd93d…27a0backed Yes42c35.69$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.993023.3%7 W · 23 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed No57c35.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0410957.8%63 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No75c33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2510753.3%57 W · 50 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc353…30a8backed Yes42c30.83$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.953542.9%15 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes44c26.45$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.591,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked No61c25.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.129858.2%57 W · 41 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4436…cf98backed No58c25.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+39.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed No67c24.51$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0416853.6%90 W · 78 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes42c24.12$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.135742.1%24 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Yes42c23.81$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No56c20.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0713942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa555…7594backed No60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa3…072dbacked No64c18.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.76650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed No61c18.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.144369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30b2…1cbdbacked No60c18.2$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked No73c14.63$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.92875%21 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9646…d98dbacked No80c13.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.66450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.