Mls · resolved market
Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcd746c9ac9925a078ce5f6190bcb284ef868607b839a5430f1dab998a207c47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d93…0eccbacked Yes | 37c | 1,441$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 63c | 1,432$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.66 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 39c | 1,368$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.78 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 509.04$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.93 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 67c | 499.99$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.34 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 49c | 493.73$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.66 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 52c | 396.47$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.58 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 45c | 373.88$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.35 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 56c | 303.56$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 66c | 261.87$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.21 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 43c | 254.59$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 38c | 253.76$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.35 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 55c | 245.8$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 33c | 244.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.67 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Yes | 33c | 242.5$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.48 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 44c | 227.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 64c | 207$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.48 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 52c | 200.9$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.37 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 35c | 200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 35c | 191.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.39 | 195 | 60%117 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 67c | 189.68$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.64 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 51c | 171.31$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.94 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 168.98$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.72 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 162.04$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a6…6d23backed Yes | 32c | 159.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 151.61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.65 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 68c | 146.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 58c | 141$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed No | 73c | 114.62$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.17 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 56c | 111.79$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 47c | 111.72$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 60c | 106.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.88 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed No | 67c | 99.97$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.98 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 53c | 95.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 37c | 95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…e03cbacked Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 65c | 87.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.47 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 33c | 85.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.96 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 53c | 75.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.26 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 54c | 72.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 42c | 70$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 67c | 60.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 261 | 50.2%131 W · 130 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed No | 59c | 58.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 56c | 56.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 77 | 26%20 W · 57 L | -8.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 40c | 52.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339c…9559backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 44c | 42.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Yes | 33c | 39.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 61c | 37.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 77c | 37.34$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.49 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb630…6cb1backed Yes | 60c | 36.67$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked No | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.36per pick | 63cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Yes | 62c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…72f0backed Yes | 56c | 32.14$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 63c | 31.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 63c | 29.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 62c | 28.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 53c | 28.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 44c | 27.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 55c | 27.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 44c | 25.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed No | 47c | 25.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 67c | 24.05$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 66c | 22.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked No | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked No | 66c | 17.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-05-13?No won
- Will New York Red Bulls vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.