TailMyPicks
Market

Mls · resolved market

FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,284
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$62,333

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,284 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1341…0853backed Over55c38,155$20,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,169.531650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Under45c31,626$14,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,231.64062.5%25 W · 15 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+19.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c12,196$5,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,442.093,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Over56c8,891$4,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,911.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+47.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c3,500$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.0526345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over55c2,500$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1258845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under41c1,450$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.651,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over56c1,250$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.962263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Over53c899.99$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4231747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Under44c898.91$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9715748.4%76 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over56c741.47$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.258661.6%53 W · 33 L+9.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+19.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc29…383bbacked Under47c700$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3292532%8 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-38.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Over55c546.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.742254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under45c545.64$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5410655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2259848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under44c455.63$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9542947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under44c452.16$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.491553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over53c403.37$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7398945.4%449 W · 540 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under47c368.09$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1738946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1056…e7c7backed Over63c318.79$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under44c304.83$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.7668150.8%346 W · 335 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under44c288.94$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3182044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over45c285.82$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.496841.2%28 W · 40 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under45c199.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9735149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Under45c185.13$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.319052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over53c185$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.951457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over54c181.19$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.351838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-27.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under44c158.11$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.141,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Under45c155.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.086553.8%35 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Under44c142.22$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5820849.5%103 W · 105 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under47c135.58$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5147240.7%192 W · 280 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under44c125.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.3310755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under45c108.68$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Under46c108.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.991921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over54c102.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7210…4bb5backed Over55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Over52c96.26$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.217140.8%29 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e3…810cbacked Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+38.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over52c91.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.7913553.3%72 W · 63 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over55c90.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.78853.4%47 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed Over56c88.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under43c87$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.351,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over65c78.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7331158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6e44…f14dbacked Under45c77.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under43c76.06$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5336051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under46c70$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.253246.9%15 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under46c65.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.365240.4%21 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under45c63.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298257.3%47 W · 35 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2410046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Under48c58.33$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284639.1%18 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under44c57.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.577037.1%26 W · 44 L-11.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over62c55.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2639567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1d50…d283backed Under42c54.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.091643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under53c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6230444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d76…517cbacked Under58c53.52$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.941770.6%12 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+34%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed Over66c52.78$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.14858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+30%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under51c51.74$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.224046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under45c50.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.738129.6%24 W · 57 L-10.9wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-32.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd5f5…bb11backed Over52c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.991656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over56c47.66$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.978868.2%60 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under45c43.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.765664.3%36 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under45c40.58$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.26742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x868f…5da6backed Over56c40.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under48c39.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1916744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over53c38.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.112245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6af…b5efbacked Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7410950.5%55 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0079…b852backed Over54c37.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.121338.5%5 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.24per pick62cpaid-34.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.365354.7%29 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+18.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under45c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.056155.7%34 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under36c34.7$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4992346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b92…2241backed Under45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under45c32.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6310648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32b5…b692backed Under44c31.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.992642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ebf…2da0backed Under52c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.62454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed Under38c28.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed35…84fbbacked Under45c28.87$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.99560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over72c28.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1830957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under45c28.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.94753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under45c27.71$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4724859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under50c27.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.878344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under44c26.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.866958%40 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35d1…1f70backed Under45c26.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8310957.8%63 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Over53c20.09$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4910848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.