Mls · resolved market
FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff0d518f7b3ca9ce4f3840a4540938d6f86591e213a5965fdcc4b35a3b9d3dce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,232
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,232 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 30c | 1,384$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.71 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked No | 27c | 773.93$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.96 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 71c | 302.98$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.86 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 71c | 275$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.75 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 64c | 270.95$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 72c | 220$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 72c | 189.71$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 72c | 175.02$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 72c | 172.52$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.31 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0527…a978backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Yes | 73c | 125.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Yes | 72c | 117.86$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Yes | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked No | 28c | 95.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 73c | 76.85$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.75 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 71c | 73.72$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed No | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked No | 28c | 68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa053…da3bbacked Yes | 73c | 61.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 27c | 51.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 73c | 50.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f82…c446backed Yes | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Yes | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Yes | 78c | 41.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Yes | 70c | 34.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 77c | 31.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e02…9136backed Yes | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…ac9bbacked Yes | 72c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ab…ecebbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 77c | 24.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa44…752abacked Yes | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)FC Cincinnati won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.