TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$58,086
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,086 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under45c6,335$2,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,819.846,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c4,623$2,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,476.494,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.574645.7%21 W · 25 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under59c2,616$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.413871.1%27 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over41c2,505$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,474.920239.6%80 W · 122 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over42c2,307$959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,347.7321250%106 W · 106 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over50c2,273$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.43953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82a5…674ebacked Under1c1,659$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.158644.2%38 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under43c1,606$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.9576842.6%327 W · 441 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under48c1,578$757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.871,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over61c1,511$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.167353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Over34c1,283$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.6431947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over47c1,200$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.7782763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under52c986.31$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.886058.3%35 W · 25 L+11.0wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over42c606.36$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.223672.2%26 W · 10 L+10.9wins+0.30per pick42cpaid+99.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Under10c599.96$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601010%1 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick6cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under67c597.31$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Under14c580.95$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.254411.4%5 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Over69c580.12$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.1211437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under58c576.23$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.1388635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc2c…a49cbacked Over36c558.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.64944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick29cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over34c502.85$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.882548%12 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under59c500$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2968041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under54c499.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2701163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+42.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over70c431.53$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.585251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Over48c419.82$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.245635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18010221.6%22 W · 80 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Over72c391$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.899373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Over36c361.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.7511430.7%35 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under43c349.98$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.961,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Under14c331.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.76166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-51.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over55c313.3$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.7214055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1575…3d32backed Over66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.03875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13815740.8%64 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under51c277.71$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over37c261.38$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.499724.7%24 W · 73 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe1e…7ee3backed Under29c260.83$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.643167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa90b…5ca7backed Over80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10035347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under68c247.51$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.3915046%69 W · 81 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under66c240.01$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over80c237$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.76160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under17c224.95$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8277336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over60c213.24$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.5772142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under49c205$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.451338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c200$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7119244.8%86 W · 106 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ca…117abacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005837.9%22 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over72c193$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0425256%141 W · 111 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over79c192.18$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3615263.2%96 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under24c188.1$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0357833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over70c187.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.441343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Over56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.578445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over33c163$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.211,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Under66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005271.2%37 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over53c143.01$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4719356%108 W · 85 L+21.4wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over35c142.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.399957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79cf…91abbacked Over35c141.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.97742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over33c141.47$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.781,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b71…c4d0backed Over73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.992245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over57c126.32$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.324858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over43c125.95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7920956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9f84…00edbacked Over60c125.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.034100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under66c123.08$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.236338.1%24 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over74c113.31$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.312147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-27.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe2…6829backed Under66c111.55$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.621485.7%12 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick67cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x404f…f2a1backed Under59c108$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.69616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over46c106.52$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5213250.8%67 W · 65 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.388037.5%30 W · 50 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under65c99.99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6515738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Over35c98.23$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.851,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under61c94.9$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.892454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43c6…dfc7backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…a6febacked Over35c90.73$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+186.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over32c86$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.488648.8%42 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a69…5a45backed Over51c85.82$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-46.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over42c83.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.614165.9%27 W · 14 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over65c83.71$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1615858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf13a…f9f2backed Over73c83.56$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeaf…5e01backed Over48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.331540%6 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over57c75.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6818851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under66c75.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022356.5%126 W · 97 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under49c72$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2811248.2%54 W · 58 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked Over35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.431520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcfff…3d0ebacked Over60c65.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.13461.8%21 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under35c62.7$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7118358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Over57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.43740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45016%8 W · 42 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+20.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309339.8%37 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.44712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff2a…bfefbacked Under54c56.02$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303865.8%25 W · 13 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+38.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6779…2ff6backed Under54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303458.8%20 W · 14 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Over66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.037150.7%36 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Over32c52.9$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9711457%65 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3216…0cc7backed Under49c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.52133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed Under68c49.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.992240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Over70c47.66$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.425259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over73c46.87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.659247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8609…a968backed Under55c45.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+42.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.