Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8f13d281bdc081dadf178ec0568f704dc553be909ab83e4882b5acd50b7dccb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Crystal Palace FCof Brentford FC, Crystal Palace FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,302
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,302 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Brentford FC | 32c | 4,882$1,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,562.32 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Crystal Palace FC | 68c | 4,118$2,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.51 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Brentford FC | 32c | 2,188$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Brentford FC | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 346 | 28.6%99 W · 247 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b0…3f3cbacked Crystal Palace FC | 68c | 1,495$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.52 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Crystal Palace FC | 68c | 981.12$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Brentford FC | 32c | 841.05$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.31 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46fb…2b75backed Brentford FC | 32c | 676.58$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.51 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Crystal Palace FC | 67c | 565.03$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.46 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 466.01$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.44 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed Brentford FC | 33c | 447.91$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Brentford FC | 13c | 400.61$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Brentford FC | 18c | 400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.7 | 192 | 44.8%86 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 68c | 367.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.65 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Brentford FC | 8c | 318.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Brentford FC | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Brentford FC | 14c | 285.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Brentford FC | 6c | 264.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Crystal Palace FC | 67c | 198$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.34 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Brentford FC | 33c | 151.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Brentford FC | 33c | 149.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Crystal Palace FC | 68c | 147$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Crystal Palace FC | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 80.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Crystal Palace FC | 68c | 78.6$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83f3…9afebacked Brentford FC | 33c | 76.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Crystal Palace FC | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Brentford FC | 32c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 39.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 38.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 212 | 50.9%108 W · 104 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 30.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 70c | 21.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.34 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…f619backed Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Crystal Palace FC | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Crystal Palace FC | 69c | 16.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)this page
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.