Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffe6767396190f88ba7cd2c932d4169e95391ec6a6af618b5bf6b1b133913dba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,958
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Over | 60c | 24,869$14,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,928.83 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 10,657$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580.91 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 10,572$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,572.46 | 532 | 40%213 W · 319 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 36c | 7,006$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522.17 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 34c | 6,145$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.1 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 43c | 4,640$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.28 | 406 | 55.2%224 W · 182 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 3,340$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.88 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Over | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.99 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 44c | 2,100$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.16 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5634…d81abacked Under | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Under | 42c | 1,413$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 43c | 1,305$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.69 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 71c | 1,221$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.46 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 11c | 1,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 33c | 971.83$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.91 | 697 | 42.5%296 W · 401 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 44c | 949.12$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.34 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 43c | 794.73$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.87 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 24c | 755.45$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.86 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…4b61backed Under | 25c | 689.22$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 56c | 522.81$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.04 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Under | 43c | 455$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.65 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…ad4bbacked Under | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +132.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked Over | 57c | 434.74$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.94 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa90b…5ca7backed Over | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Under | 4c | 375$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4691…2a8abacked Over | 57c | 344.93$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 59c | 337.29$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.29 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 43c | 303.33$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.35 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9544…790dbacked Over | 58c | 255.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Under | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 45c | 232.04$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.42 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 43c | 217.51$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.53 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 44c | 207.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 43c | 207$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 57c | 206.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 199.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.99 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Under | 43c | 172.07$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.54 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcb…f3afbacked Over | 58c | 168.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Over | 56c | 126.21$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.53 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8006…94dcbacked Under | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 108.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.32 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa52…eababacked Over | 58c | 86.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…1a94backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36c…5754backed Under | 35c | 57.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 73c | 56.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 75c | 52.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 73c | 42.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd531…dfabbacked Over | 57c | 41.74$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6419…0f53backed Over | 56c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 58c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…dda1backed Over | 58c | 37.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Under | 44c | 35.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Under | 43c | 32.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Over | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe582…7fd5backed Over | 57c | 28.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Under | 43c | 28.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Over | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Over | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Over | 58c | 22.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked Over | 57c | 21.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.