Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10fc09f02cc30192fa4c12c0c7eaf054939f393a573cfd75377e9cc8785c6318

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $66,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $85,284

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,689 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6204…0b06backed Over	27c	6,999$1,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,889.74	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Under	78c	5,730$4,488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,242.61	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under	56c	4,961$2,799 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,162.33	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	26c	2,453$631 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$631.29	886	35.8%317 W · 569 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over	18c	2,200$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396	459	36.2%166 W · 293 L	+4.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over	15c	2,048$308 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.06	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	69c	1,521$1,048 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473.41	226	44.2%100 W · 126 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under	65c	1,387$907 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$479.82	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over	21c	1,208$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.15	827	63%521 W · 306 L	+113.2wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	73c	1,076$786 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$290.7	721	42.7%308 W · 413 L	+15.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	20c	1,013$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.71	202	39.6%80 W · 122 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	73c	959.35$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.32	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	22c	896$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	107	39.3%42 W · 65 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc56d…c484backed Under	76c	770$585 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.1	80	41.3%33 W · 47 L	-6.4wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under	71c	765.78$542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$223.6	114	37.7%43 W · 71 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under	73c	711.29$516 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$195.03	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.6wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Under	62c	642.86$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$242.86	52	71.2%37 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…dc80backed Over	32c	629.41$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	73	26%19 W · 54 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over	40c	625$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	35c	566.58$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.27	768	42.6%327 W · 441 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	73c	545.46$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.7	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	28c	400$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	102	21.6%22 W · 80 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	31c	346$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.26	1,012	33.2%336 W · 676 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	71c	326.98$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.67	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc2c…a49cbacked Over	32c	317.66$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.9	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+1.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8948…7e5ebacked Under	70c	282.99$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.9	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	55cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4871…0742backed Under	73c	273.97$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.97	13	92.3%12 W · 1 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	73cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under	61c	244.57$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.57	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	-3.8wins	-0.07per pick	43cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	20c	198.9$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.78	140	55%77 W · 63 L	+18.4wins	+0.13per pick	42cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	65c	198$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.34	192	44.8%86 W · 106 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	12c	189.01$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.41	578	33%191 W · 387 L	-29.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6562…4e48backed Over	37c	158.78$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59	252	56%141 W · 111 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2546…5155backed Over	42c	150$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	96	52.1%50 W · 46 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over	18c	142.39$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.63	25	32%8 W · 17 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf22b…8f84backed Under	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Under	69c	127.26$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.33	52	59.6%31 W · 21 L	+2.9wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7066…50e5backed Over	38c	126.32$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	-1.7wins	-0.06per pick	64cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over	28c	121.95$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.15	212	50%106 W · 106 L	+9.5wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over	23c	112$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.76	188	42.6%80 W · 108 L	-5.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	20c	108.15$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.63	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+21.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x404f…f2a1backed Over	24c	108$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.74	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	38cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x68d1…f166backed Over	38c	101.92$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	25	36%9 W · 16 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee4d…5413backed Over	31c	96.94$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.4wins	-0.24per pick	41cpaid	-75%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Over	33c	90.44$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	54	50%27 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee5b…dac8backed Under	78c	87.16$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.3	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+2.3wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb6c…d38ebacked Over	28c	84$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.52	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d95…fe91backed Under	70c	77.17$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.96	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.9wins	+0.29per pick	41cpaid	+71.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1bda…edd3backed Over	31c	75$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	22c	72.34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.91	158	58.2%92 W · 66 L	+10.5wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over	30c	65.7$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.71	732	58.5%428 W · 304 L	+46.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2bf0…4eadbacked Over	37c	64.86$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.1wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over	44c	63.64$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ec3…0cf1backed Over	32c	62.5$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	41.6%32 W · 45 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…fdc0backed Over	30c	60.33$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	50	18%9 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	+127.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd53c…5194backed Over	22c	60$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	32cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cbf…70a1backed Under	60c	58.33$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.33	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x697e…9904backed Under	78c	47.81$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.63	26	57.7%15 W · 11 L	+2.2wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5617…a1f2backed Under	63c	47.62$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.62	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	71cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	76c	45.22$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.77	204	40.7%83 W · 121 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over	33c	44.99$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.04	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-6.8wins	-0.23per pick	49cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5d97…256bbacked Under	78c	38.46$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.46	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under	64c	37.72$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.46	31	61.3%19 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8062…67a5backed Under	57c	35.09$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	64cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43c6…dfc7backed Over	31c	33.9$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab92…19e5backed Under	70c	33.41$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.13	18	50%9 W · 9 L	-2.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked Under	61c	32.87$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.87	51	45.1%23 W · 28 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1b…106cbacked Under	79c	32.86$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.74	41	68.3%28 W · 13 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	68cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under	71c	27.59$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.09	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5d71…c404backed Under	73c	27.4$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+36%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da9…3bbebacked Under	73c	25.86$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.98	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.27per pick	73cpaid	+37%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed Under	72c	25$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.1	42	66.7%28 W · 14 L	+4.7wins	+0.11per pick	55cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x976e…8453backed Under	73c	23.99$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.41	27	63%17 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x276d…ea8fbacked Under	73c	22.19$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.99	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	65cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	71c	19.19$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.59	413	43.3%179 W · 234 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under	57c	19$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.08	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeceb…29a4backed Under	68c	17.52$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.67	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	57cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89e9…c4a3backed Under	67c	16.15$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.33	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.20per pick	60cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5this page
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Over won
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event