Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95cd8769a5f4d7a1a1389b33d9dca5804a6651a60141e6d01423999044cebe8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 9c | 2,638$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Under | 1c | 1,732$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 20c | 1,695$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.79 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Under | 21c | 1,615$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.96 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 9c | 805.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.14 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…43c5backed Over | 80c | 750$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 6c | 334.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 80c | 314.93$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Under | 21c | 301.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 20c | 102$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Under | 21c | 82.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Under | 21c | 81.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 80c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 79c | 29.66$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Over | 80c | 26.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1755…a572backed Over | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2f…fcd1backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.