Premier League · resolved market
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5877bc055df800861629d16d2174949c323c89dadefec66e33c2b39573766b13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,291
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Yes | 58c | 6,000$3,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,530.91 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 13c | 2,340$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.04 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 42c | 1,857$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.52 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a2…6fc8backed No | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f0…1e62backed No | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 42c | 910.98$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.29 | 604 | 45.4%274 W · 330 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 43c | 667.85$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.21 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 42c | 600$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 560 | 51.4%288 W · 272 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 42c | 572.39$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.59 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 42c | 558.09$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.4 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed No | 43c | 459.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 57c | 349.12$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.12 | 99 | 57.6%57 W · 42 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed No | 44c | 337$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.3 | 114 | 37.7%43 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 19c | 312.65$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…60c5backed Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b71…c4d0backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed No | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 18c | 217.24$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.73 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 58c | 205.2$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.2 | 127 | 41.7%53 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked No | 42c | 203.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Yes | 57c | 199.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 10c | 197.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Yes | 57c | 192.98$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | -10.7wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53e4…6f6bbacked Yes | 76c | 160.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.71 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed No | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 60c | 142.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.66 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 42c | 112$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked No | 21c | 99.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 109 | 40.4%44 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Yes | 79c | 98.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked No | 43c | 91.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 85.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 57c | 71.93$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.93 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 240 | 62.5%150 W · 90 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 55c | 60.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 43c | 56.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 79c | 53.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 724 | 42.7%309 W · 415 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…205ebacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…4698backed No | 43c | 50.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed No | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 24c | 44.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 1,938 | 42.5%823 W · 1,115 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 39c | 35.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 43c | 35.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6b…68a0backed Yes | 58c | 25.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 79c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ab…2da7backed Yes | 57c | 19.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-1.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Brentford FC (-2.5)Crystal Palace FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)Brentford FC won
- Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-2.5)Brentford FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.