Asian League · resolved market
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff5f1518542741646a21db192dd651293e90e34f47ebe5135430fd146ce812bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4789…994abacked No | 71c | 1,400$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.93 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 1,298$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.8 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 973.49$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.86 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 10c | 735.34$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.33 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 34c | 653.92$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.78 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 28c | 646.34$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…7204backed Yes | 10c | 602.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 4c | 560$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 476.52$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.37 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8345…5cadbacked Yes | 34c | 444$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 75c | 321.69$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.69 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 15c | 248.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 78c | 232.42$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 12c | 200.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 14c | 177.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 36c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 18c | 146$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.14 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 71c | 127.51$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.98 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 36c | 119.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 69c | 115$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 100.74$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 72c | 96.14$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe968…de6fbacked No | 63c | 85.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.71 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…f725backed No | 67c | 75.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 63c | 69.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Yes | 38c | 64.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed No | 61c | 60.25$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 79c | 58.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked Yes | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 29c | 46.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d5…11f0backed No | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 65c | 43.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.34 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 63c | 43.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 165 | 61.2%101 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 79c | 35.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Yes | 31c | 35.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 67c | 33.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed No | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 65c | 22.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…2264backed No | 63c | 21.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 72cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed35…84fbbacked No | 68c | 16.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-12?this page
- Will Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-05-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.